sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,305

xamel27

0x242…fbe8
<7d old<14d old<30d oldWeatherPoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$2,425vol $10.7k
PnL 30d+$19.5kgains $3,377 · losses $464
PnL 7d+$19.5kwin rate 7d 41.0%
Win rate41.0%adj 41.9% · 30d 41.0%
Open value$9.40cash n/a
Positions82 / 248open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age1dlast trade 9m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

Not enough history to draw an equity curve.
PnL+$19.9kbelow peak $0Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

68/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale48
Adjusted win rateraw 41.0% · shrunk toward 50%5
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable80
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Noclosed+$609Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · Noclosed+$487Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · Noclosed+$356Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Noclosed+$276Will there be no Hormuz agreement? · Noclosed+$223

Worst markets

Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? · Noclosed−$116Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? · Noclosed−$105Will Kuo Hsi win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yesopen−$31Will Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · Yesopen−$24Will SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · Yesopen−$24

Open positions · 82

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 12?No249¢60.5¢$1.19+$0.23$0
Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?No315¢17.5¢$0.59+$0.08$0
Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes4862.7¢0.1¢$0.49−$13−$11
Will Kuo Hsi win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes9493.3¢0.1¢$0.47−$31$0
Will Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes8982.7¢0.1¢$0.45−$24$0
Will SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes8982.7¢0.1¢$0.45−$24$0
Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes8982.7¢0.1¢$0.45−$24$0
Will Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes8982.7¢0.1¢$0.45−$24$0
Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes8982.7¢0.1¢$0.45−$24$0
Will Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes8982.7¢0.1¢$0.45−$24$0
Will Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP) win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes8982.7¢0.1¢$0.45−$24$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?No412.4¢8.3¢$0.33−$0.16+$18
Will the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Yes2343.3¢0.1¢$0.23−$7.57$0
Will Natalia Kiselova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2452.5¢0.1¢$0.12−$6.01$0
Will Yanaki Stoilov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2452.5¢0.1¢$0.12−$6.01$0
Will Delyan Peevski win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2452.5¢0.1¢$0.12−$6.01$0
Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2452.5¢0.1¢$0.12−$6.01$0
Will Krum Zarkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2452.5¢0.1¢$0.12−$6.01$0
Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2452.5¢0.1¢$0.12−$6.01$0
Will Rosen Plevneliev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2452.5¢0.1¢$0.12−$6.01$0
Will Atanas Atanasov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2452.5¢0.1¢$0.12−$6.01$0
Will Boyko Borissov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2452.5¢0.1¢$0.12−$6.01$0
Will Blagomir Kotsev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2452.5¢0.1¢$0.12−$6.01$0
Will Rosen Zhelyazkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2452.5¢0.1¢$0.12−$6.01$0
Will Vassil Terziev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2452.5¢0.1¢$0.12−$6.01$0
Will Marco Mendicino win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes2412.8¢0.1¢$0.12−$6.56$0
Will Anthony Furey win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes2412.8¢0.1¢$0.12−$6.56$0
Will Michael Ford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes2412.8¢0.1¢$0.12−$6.56$0
Will Kevin Clarke win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes2412.8¢0.1¢$0.12−$6.56$0
Will Ana Bailão win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes2412.8¢0.1¢$0.12−$6.56$0
Will John Tory win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes2412.8¢0.1¢$0.12−$6.56$0
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 12?Yes189.1¢0.5¢$0.09−$1.51−$5.24
Will the Democrats win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Yes1547.7¢0.1¢$0.08−$12$0
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on October 13?Yes239.1¢0.3¢$0.07−$2.05$0
Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Yes133.4¢0.4¢$0.05−$0.39$0
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 12?Yes769.1¢0.1¢$0.04−$6.85$0
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on October 13?Yes239.1¢0.1¢$0.02−$2.10$0
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C or below on October 13?Yes239.1¢0.1¢$0.02−$2.10$0
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C or below on October 12?Yes449.1¢0.1¢$0.02−$3.96−$2.88
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 13?Yes229.1¢0.1¢$0.02−$1.94$0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or higher on October 13?Yes189.1¢0.1¢$0.02−$1.66$0
Will a team from Pacific win VALORANT Champions 2026?Yes820¢0.2¢$0.02−$1.65−$4.14
Will Marco Zunino win the 2026 Whistler mayoral election?Yes333.6¢0.1¢$0.02−$1.15$0
Will Lance Bright win the 2026 Whistler mayoral election?Yes333.6¢0.1¢$0.02−$1.15$0
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.6% or more in September?Yes2714.3¢0.1¢$0.01−$3.87$0
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 38°C or higher on October 13?Yes239.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$2.11$0
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 37°C on October 13?Yes239.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$2.11$0
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on October 12?Yes239.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$2.09$0
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 58-59°F on October 12?Yes239.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$2.09$0
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 56-57°F on October 12?Yes239.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$2.09$0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C or below on October 13?Yes229.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.95$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 12?Yes219.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.91$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 12?Yes219.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.91$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or below on October 12?Yes219.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.91$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 12?Yes219.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.91$0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on October 13?Yes219.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.88$0
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?Yes2010¢0.1¢$0.01−$2.03$0
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?Yes2010¢0.1¢$0.01−$2.03$0
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?Yes2010¢0.1¢$0.01−$2.03$0
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?Yes2010¢0.1¢$0.01−$2.03$0
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be at least 200m by October 31?Yes2014.3¢0.1¢$0.01−$2.85$0
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 180m and 190m by October 31?Yes2014.3¢0.1¢$0.01−$2.85$0
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 190m and 200m by October 31?Yes2014.3¢0.1¢$0.01−$2.85$0
Will Broadcom be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Yes133.4¢0.1¢$0.01−$0.44$0
Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Yes133.4¢0.1¢$0.01−$0.44$0
Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Yes133.4¢0.1¢$0.01−$0.44$0
Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Yes133.4¢0.1¢$0.01−$0.44$0
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C or below on October 12?Yes119.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.02$0
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C or higher on October 12?Yes119.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.02$0
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 12?Yes119.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.02$0
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 12?Yes119.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.02$0
Will a team from another region win VALORANT Champions 2026?Yes820¢0.1¢$0−$1.66−$4.14
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on October 12?Yes79.1¢0.1¢$0−$0.59$0
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on October 12?Yes79.1¢0.1¢$0−$0.59$0
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C or higher on October 12?Yes79.1¢0.1¢$0−$0.59$0
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on October 12?Yes79.1¢0.1¢$0−$0.59$0
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 12?Yes19.1¢0.1¢$0−$0.12−$0.83
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 15 and 17.5 million views on day 1?Yes3114.3¢0¢$0−$4.48$0
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 22.5 million or more views on day 1?Yes3114.3¢0¢$0−$4.48$0
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 12.5 and 15 million views on day 1?Yes3114.3¢0¢$0−$4.48$0
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 10 million views on day 1?Yes3114.3¢0¢$0−$4.48$0
Will a team from China win VALORANT Champions 2026?Yes2920¢0¢$0−$5.83$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill AI solve 5 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?0.5¢134$0.6741%68
SELL YesWill AI solve 4 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?0.5¢134$0.6741%68
SELL YesWill AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?0.5¢134$0.6741%68
BUY NoWill AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?98.7¢134$13241%68
BUY NoWill AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?83¢134$11141%68
BUY NoWill Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?59¢145$8541%68
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 13?99.8¢21$2141%68
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 13?41.9¢21$8.8041%68
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on October 13?99.5¢21$2141%68
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 13?72.6¢21$1541%68
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 13?99.7¢21$2141%68
SELL NoWill the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?4¢569$2341%68
BUY NoWill the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?9.8¢569$5641%68
BUY YesWill the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?24¢1$0.2441%68
BUY NoWill Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?13¢68$8.8741%68
BUY NoReserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?99.8¢30$3041%68
BUY NoNo change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?17¢30$5.1041%68
BUY NoReserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?99.6¢30$3041%68
BUY NoWill the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?99.9¢46$4641%68
BUY NoWill the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?9¢46$4.1341%68