PnL all-time+$34.9kvol $757k
PnL 30d−$1,974gains $2,584 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$2,867win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate80.4%adj 78.0% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$15.9kcash n/a
Positions9 / 251open / all-time
Max drawdown−66.6%of equity peak
Account age1.1ylast trade 12m ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$15.9kbelow peak −$27.6kOct 8
SharpScore inputs
70/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale65
Adjusted win rateraw 80.4% · shrunk toward 50%95
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable80
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity33
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Noclosed+$29.4kStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · Noclosed+$13.3kWill $PI from the University of Indiana win the MBC Research Competition? · Yesclosed+$2,572Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? · Noclosed+$2,520Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? · Noclosed+$2,202
Worst markets
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · Yesopen−$14.6kIran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · Yesopen−$12.8kUS strikes Iraq by February 28? · Yesclosed−$6,586Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? · Yesopen−$4,852Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8? · Noopen−$3,149
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 5,000 | 87¢ | 94.5¢ | $4,725 | +$375 | $0 | |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | Yes | 32.1k | 53.9¢ | 8.5¢ | $2,726 | −$14.6k | $0 | |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | Yes | 12.8k | 58.9¢ | 21¢ | $2,691 | −$4,852 | $0 | |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? | Yes | 28.5k | 42.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$12.1k | −$642 | |
| Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8? | No | 8,765 | 34¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,984 | −$165 | |
| Chirayu Rana sued? | No | 5,309 | 17.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$913 | −$30 | |
| Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21? | Yes | 4,030 | 32.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,301 | −$11 | |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | No | 3,000 | 73¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,190 | $0 |
Recent trades
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