sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #2,711

wqujvj

0x24f…973e
WR 70+WR 60+OtherPoliticsCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$9,330vol $602k
PnL 30d−$1,521gains $1,900 · losses $224
PnL 7d+$239win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate74.7%adj 70.1% · 30d 81.3%
Open value$21.2kcash n/a
Positions47 / 135open / all-time
Max drawdown−53.1%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 2h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$10.3kbelow peak −$3,176Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

60/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale57
Adjusted win rateraw 74.7% · shrunk toward 50%75
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable71
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity47

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website? · Yesclosed+$5,386Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30? · Yesclosed+$5,069Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15? · Yesclosed+$4,329US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? · Noclosed+$2,263Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3? · Yesclosed+$1,484

Worst markets

Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? · Noclosed−$5,203Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website? · Noclosed−$3,613GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026? · Yesopen−$2,043Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026? · Yesclosed−$1,777Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22? · Yesopen−$1,568

Open positions · 47

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No3,25196¢96¢$3,119−$1.62$0
US military draft authorized in 2026?No2,63381.7¢96.1¢$2,530+$378+$52
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?No2,94069.1¢69.5¢$2,043+$10$0
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No2,00053¢90¢$1,800+$740$0
Zcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?No1,57484¢95.6¢$1,505+$183$0
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No1,51889.6¢97¢$1,472+$112+$194
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?Yes4,07060.8¢35.5¢$1,445−$1,031$0
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?No1,52779.4¢90¢$1,375+$162$0
Will AI.gov be renamed to SI.gov by October 31?Yes87866¢89¢$782+$202$0
Will SI.gov launch by October 31?Yes99971.1¢73.5¢$734+$24$0
Will SI.gov launch by October 15?Yes70645.3¢77¢$544+$224$0
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,18869¢38.5¢$457−$362$0
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Yes3,38123.7¢12.5¢$423−$380$0
Taylor & Travis divorce in 2026?No35395¢97.7¢$345+$9.36$0
Will OpenAI retract its Navier-Stokes solution by December 31, 2026?No35095¢94.5¢$331−$1.75$0
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?Yes91930¢34¢$313+$36$0
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?Yes2,23214.5¢12.5¢$279−$45$0
KOSPI all-time high before 2028?Yes56066.9¢46.5¢$260−$114$0
Will Sneako be deported in 2026?No24796¢96.3¢$238+$0.62$0
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?No26769.6¢80¢$214+$28+$0.15
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Yes55515.5¢30.5¢$169+$83$0
Will there be exactly 1 Codex weekly usage limit reset in the week of October 5?No15099¢87.1¢$131−$18$0
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?No11080.9¢93¢$103+$13$0
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Yes4,1019.7¢2.5¢$103−$296$0
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026?Yes3,0718.2¢3¢$92−$159$0
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes54534.7¢16.5¢$90−$99$0
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2027?Yes50617¢15.5¢$78−$7.59$0
Will AI.gov be renamed to SI.gov by October 15?Yes13533.3¢56.5¢$76+$31$0
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December?Yes9919¢40.5¢$40+$21$0
Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?No2592¢97.1¢$24+$1.26$0
Will Tristan Buckmaster sue OpenAI by December 31, 2026?No2190¢81¢$17−$1.89$0
Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Yes7431.8¢22.5¢$17−$6.86+$2.59
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes5334¢14.5¢$7.66−$10$0
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 9, 2026?Yes2554.2¢0.6¢$1.53−$9.31$0
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Yes6,20121.7¢0¢$0−$1,345−$37
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?Yes3,24714.6¢0¢$0−$473−$1,570
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?Yes3,21310.1¢0¢$0−$323−$221
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 6, 2026?Yes2,9141¢0¢$0−$29−$1.14
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 3?No2,8480.8¢0¢$0−$23−$9.07
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?Yes2,3765.1¢0¢$0−$120−$63
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?Yes1,3093.3¢0¢$0−$44+$75
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?No75619.9¢0¢$0−$150−$121
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes74720.9¢0¢$0−$156−$1,411
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Yes57618.8¢0¢$0−$108−$3.52
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?No21822¢0¢$0−$48−$48
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 15?Yes1173.3¢0¢$0−$3.83−$71
Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 20?Yes4023.5¢0¢$0−$9.40−$0.29

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?81¢464$37675%60
BUY YesWill SI.gov launch by October 31?83¢20$1775%60
BUY YesWill AI.gov be renamed to SI.gov by October 31?79¢60$4775%60
BUY YesWill AI.gov be renamed to SI.gov by October 31?77.1¢160$12375%60
BUY YesWill SI.gov launch by October 15?61¢20$1275%60
SELL NoHantavirus pandemic in 2026?98.1¢2,941$2,88575%60
BUY YesWill SI.gov launch by October 15?51¢100$5175%60
BUY YesWill AI.gov be renamed to SI.gov by October 31?74.4¢166$12475%60
BUY YesWill SI.gov launch by October 15?61.4¢47$2975%60
BUY YesWill SI.gov launch by October 31?74¢428$31775%60
BUY YesWill AI.gov be renamed to SI.gov by October 31?69¢69$4875%60
BUY YesWill SI.gov launch by October 31?68.9¢571$39375%60
BUY YesWill AI.gov be renamed to SI.gov by October 31?56.2¢423$23875%60
BUY YesWill AI.gov be renamed to SI.gov by October 15?33.3¢135$4575%60
BUY YesWill SI.gov launch by October 15?42.2¢539$22875%60
BUY NoWill there be exactly 1 Codex weekly usage limit reset in the week of October 5?99¢100$9975%60
BUY NoWill there be exactly 1 Codex weekly usage limit reset in the week of October 5?99¢50$4975%60
BUY NoWill there be no Codex weekly usage limit reset in the week of October 5?98¢5$4.9075%60
SELL NoWill AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?25.3¢231$5975%60
SELL YesWill OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?21.1¢1,068$22575%60