sharpside
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yukonboi

0x250…e864@Yukon_Boi
PnL 10k+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$11.4kvol $886k
PnL 30d−$1,029gains $412 · losses $1.95
PnL 7d−$291win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate57.8%adj 57.5% · 30d 90.0%
Open value$8,787cash n/a
Positions66 / 587open / all-time
Max drawdown−30.1%of equity peak
Account age3.0ylast trade 10d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$9,909below peak −$4,099Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

61/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale58
Adjusted win rateraw 57.8% · shrunk toward 50%44
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable92
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d65
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity70

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 66

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No3,78069.8¢68.5¢$2,589−$48$0
Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?No83972.1¢99.6¢$835+$230$0
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?No1,18487¢70¢$829−$201$0
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No1,07388.6¢53.8¢$576−$373$0
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No1,25263.7¢38.5¢$482−$316$0
Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?No1,25882.8¢38.1¢$479−$563$0
Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?No50092¢93.9¢$469+$9.25$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No1,20037¢37.5¢$450+$6.00$0
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?No89040.3¢41.5¢$369+$10$0
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No93057.3¢27.5¢$256−$278$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?No24273¢79¢$191+$15$0
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes30081¢62¢$186−$57$0
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?No59033.9¢24.5¢$145−$55$0
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes15677¢90.5¢$141+$21$0
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No36152.7¢32.5¢$117−$73$0
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No20052.5¢51.5¢$103−$2.00$0
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No10093.8¢97.6¢$98+$3.80$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?No12575¢74.5¢$93−$0.63$0
AI bubble burst in 2026?No8881.8¢94¢$83+$11+$0.20
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-09 House seat?No17326¢27.5¢$47+$2.59$0
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?Yes25053¢17¢$43−$90$0
Ledger IPO before 2027?No4355¢97.7¢$42+$18$0
Will Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?No4075¢96¢$39+$8.41$0
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes10060¢28.5¢$29−$32$0
Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?Yes1692¢94¢$15+$0.31$0
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?No5232¢28.5¢$15−$1.81$0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes10816¢9¢$9.69−$7.54$0
Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?Yes992¢98.5¢$8.70+$0.57$0
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?No14133.3¢6.2¢$8.64−$38$0
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5001.5¢1.2¢$6.00−$1.50$0
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1004.7¢5.6¢$5.55+$0.85+$0.40
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Yes4026¢9.5¢$3.80−$6.60$0
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No545¢67.5¢$3.52+$1.17$0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes2714¢12.5¢$3.36−$0.40$0
Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?No559¢60.5¢$3.30+$0.08$0
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes572¢69.5¢$3.28−$0.12$0
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5001.2¢0.4¢$1.75−$4.25$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?Yes620¢23.5¢$1.49+$0.22$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes227¢62.5¢$1.25+$0.71$0
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes2341.6¢0.5¢$1.05−$2.69$0
Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05?Yes5764¢1.5¢$0.82−$35$0
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?No2125¢3.7¢$0.80−$4.58$0
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes2003.2¢0.4¢$0.70−$5.70$0
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Yes1825¢3.7¢$0.68−$3.90$0
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes1225¢3.8¢$0.43−$2.46$0
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes163.2¢38.5¢$0.39−$0.25−$209
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%?Yes116¢22.5¢$0.23+$0.07$0
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No8,70060¢0¢$0−$5,217−$63
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?No4,00416.3¢0¢$0−$652−$27
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No2,90048¢0¢$0−$1,392$0
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning Lightning2,67235.9¢0¢$0−$960−$13
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No1,05446¢0¢$0−$485$0
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No1,00072¢0¢$0−$720$0
Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No50050¢0¢$0−$250−$0.32
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes50012¢0¢$0−$60−$0.30
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?Yes38852.1¢0¢$0−$202−$1.01
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No36271¢0¢$0−$257$0
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No25253¢0¢$0−$133$0
Will David Flippo be the Republican nominee for NV-02?No25031.6¢0¢$0−$79$0
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?No22037¢0¢$0−$81$0
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No10032¢0¢$0−$32$0
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes?Yes8842.5¢0¢$0−$37−$0.19
Will Kylian Mbappé record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No7466¢0¢$0−$49$0
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?No5031¢0¢$0−$16$0
Will Harry Kane score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No4436¢0¢$0−$16$0
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?Yes726¢0¢$0−$1.76$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?19¢1,875$35658%61
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%?16¢1$0.1658%61
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?20¢6$1.2758%61
BUY NoWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?75¢125$9458%61
BUY NoWill Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?16¢426$6858%61
BUY NoWill the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?17¢875$14958%61
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?61¢1,425$86958%61
BUY NoSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score53¢4,500$2,38558%61
BUY NoWill the final be FRA vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?76¢1$0.9258%61
BUY NoWill Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?83.3¢306$25558%61
BUY NoWill the final be FRA vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?71¢630$44758%61
BUY NoWill Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?78¢50$3958%61
BUY NoWill Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?60¢8,448$5,06958%61
BUY NoWill Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?59¢252$14858%61
BUY NoVariational FDV above $1B one day after launch?74¢80$5958%61
BUY NoWill Algeria win on 2026-06-27?73¢70$5158%61
BUY NoWill Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?86.5¢700$60658%61
BUY NoWill Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?49.9¢43$2258%61
BUY NoWill Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?46¢184$8558%61
SELL YesWill the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?35¢10$3.5058%61