PnL all-time−$280vol $12.3k
PnL 30d−$249gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate89.7%adj 79.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$252cash n/a
Positions3 / 62open / all-time
Max drawdown−21.9%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 35d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$276below peak −$195Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
43/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 89.7% · shrunk toward 50%99
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable60
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity78
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6? · Yesclosed+$58Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November? · Noclosed+$48Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? · Noclosed+$16Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? · Noclosed+$16Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$8.96
Worst markets
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Noclosed−$201Will the price of Solana be above $140 on December 9? · Noopen−$131LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI · Dplus KIAclosed−$87Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 9? · Noclosed−$80Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? · Yesclosed−$6.43
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | No | 131 | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | $131 | +$1.15 | $0 | |
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by September 30, 2026? | No | 121 | 99¢ | 100¢ | $121 | +$1.25 | $0 |
Recent trades
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