PnL all-time−$7,127vol $964k
PnL 30d−$1,920gains $8,320 · losses $12.0k
PnL 7d+$206win rate 7d 56.0%
Win rate59.8%adj 59.4% · 30d 54.9%
Open value$2,858cash n/a
Positions10 / 2,049open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 1h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$4,168below peak −$6,951Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
37/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 59.8% · shrunk toward 50%49
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on August 21? · Yesclosed−$578Nottingham Forest FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Tottenham Hotspur FC O/U 0.5 · Overclosed−$538Will FK Karpaty Lviv win on 2026-08-29? · Yesclosed−$508Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yesclosed−$482Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 15? · Noclosed−$467
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 9, 2026? | Yes | 1,105 | 99.4¢ | 96.3¢ | $1,064 | −$35 | +$13 | |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 1,020 | 80¢ | 85.2¢ | $869 | +$52 | $0 | |
| Will Vivo Keyd Stars make a roster change by December? | Yes | 424 | 93.3¢ | 93.5¢ | $397 | +$0.92 | $0 | |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 9, 2026? | Yes | 264 | 78.7¢ | 96.9¢ | $256 | +$48 | −$4.73 | |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by October 15? | No | 204 | 87¢ | 91¢ | $185 | +$8.15 | $0 | |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31? | No | 78 | 66¢ | 66¢ | $51 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15? | No | 36 | 95¢ | 98.1¢ | $35 | +$1.12 | +$17 | |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 300 | 29.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$88 | −$3.11 | |
| Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 290 | 27.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$79 | −$1.61 | |
| Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 141 | 15.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$22 | −$0.80 |
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