PnL all-time+$1,568vol $68.0k
PnL 30d−$25gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$37win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate73.0%adj 64.9% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$663cash n/a
Positions6 / 44open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age5molast trade 2d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$1,575below peak −$169Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
37/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale46
Adjusted win rateraw 73.0% · shrunk toward 50%62
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable55
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d93
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026? · Yesclosed+$887Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · Noclosed+$476Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$404Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · Noclosed+$271Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · Noclosed+$120
Worst markets
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31? · Noclosed−$586Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website? · Noclosed−$150SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO? · Noclosed−$128Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? · Noopen−$41US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Noclosed−$35
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? | No | 434 | 87.5¢ | 78¢ | $339 | −$41 | $0 | |
| U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? | No | 121 | 88¢ | 96¢ | $116 | +$9.70 | +$0.94 | |
| Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? | No | 75 | 84.5¢ | 96¢ | $72 | +$8.65 | $0 | |
| Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | No | 82 | 74.4¢ | 78¢ | $64 | +$2.96 | +$2.15 | |
| Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31? | No | 75 | 74.9¢ | 75¢ | $56 | +$0.10 | $0 | |
| Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | Yes | 29 | 20¢ | 52¢ | $15 | +$9.39 | $0 |
Recent trades
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