sharpside
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Traders/Rank #24,037

Shiny-Mark

0x25d…28de
PoliticsOtherCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$48.8kvol $21.6M
PnL 30d+$795gains $3,145 · losses $22.8k
PnL 7d−$568win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate59.4%adj 58.9% · 30d 51.7%
Open value$9,287cash n/a
Positions63 / 445open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 9h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$46.3kbelow peak −$109kOct 13

SharpScore inputs

35/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 59.4% · shrunk toward 50%47
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable88
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 63

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes22.1k14.7¢14.5¢$3,209−$44+$7,330
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Yes46.2k8.1¢6.5¢$3,001−$728−$851
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes5,28144.1¢47.3¢$2,495+$167+$234
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes41.8k1.3¢0.9¢$355−$170−$302
Iran leadership change by November 30?Yes3,9405.5¢5.5¢$217−$1.71+$1.21
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes2,7420.4¢0.4¢$9.60−$1.41+$6.25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Yes104k4.3¢0¢$0−$4,532−$270
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?Yes73.3k4.5¢0¢$0−$3,294−$74
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?Yes58.5k4.1¢0¢$0−$2,422−$2,913
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?Yes50.5k14.2¢0¢$0−$7,147−$1,302
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes33.7k31.1¢0¢$0−$10.5k+$341
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?Yes31.5k5.8¢0¢$0−$1,840−$2.39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No27.0k73.2¢0¢$0−$19.8k$0
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?Yes23.7k9.3¢0¢$0−$2,195+$958
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?Yes19.4k3.5¢0¢$0−$683−$3,551
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Yes14.5k4.4¢0¢$0−$641+$151
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Yes10.9k1¢0¢$0−$107+$2.46
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes10.5k7.5¢0¢$0−$792−$1,342
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in September?No7,6070.1¢0¢$0−$11$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Yes7,39510¢0¢$0−$736−$3,023
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Yes7,1998.2¢0¢$0−$589−$78
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Yes5,8305.1¢0¢$0−$297−$113
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?Yes5,81215.1¢0¢$0−$876+$12
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?Yes5,6841.5¢0¢$0−$87$0
Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by June 30?Yes4,8792¢0¢$0−$97−$2.57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETUp4,2843.1¢0¢$0−$134−$7.61
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?Yes3,0149.1¢0¢$0−$273$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Yes2,8657.9¢0¢$0−$227+$2,814
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?Yes2,40413¢0¢$0−$312$0
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes2,20019.4¢0¢$0−$427−$146
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in April?Yes1,7195.2¢0¢$0−$89$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?Yes1,2003.1¢0¢$0−$37$0
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes7780.5¢0¢$0−$3.98+$815
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes64415.6¢0¢$0−$101−$341
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of June 1 2026?Yes6000.4¢0¢$0−$2.20$0
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?No6001.9¢0¢$0−$11$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?Yes6000.7¢0¢$0−$4.20$0
Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?Yes58419.1¢0¢$0−$111−$1,160
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?No5003¢0¢$0−$15+$8.47
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?Yes5004.6¢0¢$0−$23$0
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?Yes4352.2¢0¢$0−$9.56+$5,206
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETUp4002.7¢0¢$0−$11−$0.75
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?Yes39013¢0¢$0−$51$0
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Yes35722.7¢0¢$0−$81+$21
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 7?Yes2161.6¢0¢$0−$3.39−$19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Yes18924.3¢0¢$0−$46−$48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETUp12659.6¢0¢$0−$75−$2.11
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 70 by April 30?Yes11233.2¢0¢$0−$37$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ETDown10750¢0¢$0−$53+$9.30
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?Yes10031.6¢0¢$0−$31$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETUp8022.2¢0¢$0−$18−$0.48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETDown7128.4¢0¢$0−$20−$0.58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETDown6915¢0¢$0−$10−$0.62
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETUp5425.3¢0¢$0−$14+$24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ETDown5337¢0¢$0−$20−$0.54
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 80 by April 30?Yes507¢0¢$0−$3.50+$29
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Yes461.3¢0¢$0−$0.59−$92
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETDown4443¢0¢$0−$19−$0.75
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETUp4044¢0¢$0−$18$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETDown4021.5¢0¢$0−$8.60−$0.19
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?Yes231.9¢0¢$0−$0.43+$40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ETDown2026¢0¢$0−$5.20$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ETDown1214.3¢0¢$0−$1.72+$3.38

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?14¢621$8759%35
SELL NoWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?66¢4,000$2,64059%35
SELL NoWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?66¢4,000$2,64059%35
SELL YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?16¢7,300$1,16859%35
SELL YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?1¢20$0.2059%35
SELL YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?42¢675$28359%35
BUY YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?8¢480$3859%35
BUY YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?8¢800$6459%35
SELL YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?18¢69$1259%35
BUY YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?8¢4,973$39859%35
SELL YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?18¢1,781$32159%35
SELL YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?1.7¢721$1259%35
SELL YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?19¢151$2959%35
SELL YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?2¢750$1559%35
SELL YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?19¢312$5959%35
BUY YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?2¢4,000$8059%35
SELL YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?1.9¢645$1259%35
BUY YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?2¢4,000$8059%35
SELL YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?49.7¢90$4559%35
BUY YesWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?41.7¢400$16759%35