sharpside
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Traders/Rank #12,520

lichterloh

0x25e…8c51
1y+PoliticsOtherCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$15vol $2,168
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate25.0%adj 42.9% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$119cash n/a
Positions4 / 12open / all-time
Max drawdown−5.9%of equity peak
Account age1.2ylast trade 1y ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$15below peak −$30Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

14/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 25.0% · shrunk toward 50%7
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable36
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity94

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 4

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?No11984.1¢100¢$119+$19$0
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?Yes12416.9¢0¢$0−$21+$9.65
Will anyone say "China" during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?Yes899¢0¢$0−$8.00$0
Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?No5918¢0¢$0−$11$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?3.4¢29$1.0025%14
BUY NoWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?87.9¢46$4025%14
SELL YesOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?5¢42$2.0825%14
BUY YesWill OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?21¢95$2025%14
SELL NoWill GPT-5 be released by August 10?1.7¢289$4.9225%14
BUY YesWill anyone say "China" during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?9¢89$8.0025%14
BUY NoWill Putin meet with Trump by September 30?18¢59$1125%14
BUY NoWill GPT-5 be released by August 10?2.9¢103$3.0025%14
SELL NoWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?85¢89$7625%14
BUY NoWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?87¢63$5425%14
SELL YesRussia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?55¢98$5425%14
BUY YesRussia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?61¢98$6025%14
SELL NoThailand strikes Cambodia by August 31?97.1¢36$3525%14
SELL YesWill OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?72¢34$2525%14
BUY NoWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?86.5¢27$2325%14
SELL YesWill Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?27¢52$1425%14
BUY YesOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?12¢42$5.0025%14
BUY NoWill GPT-5 be released by August 10?5.4¢186$1025%14
SELL YesWill OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?72¢34$2525%14
BUY NoWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?93.4¢92$8625%14