sharpside
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Traders/Rank #16,079

smarturn1

0x264…cf7f
WR 70+WR 60+SportPoliticsCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$245vol $169k
PnL 30d−$28gains $1,248 · losses $122
PnL 7d−$128win rate 7d 83.3%
Win rate75.2%adj 72.4% · 30d 76.5%
Open value$91cash n/a
Positions158 / 362open / all-time
Max drawdown−82.7%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 4h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$829below peak −$1,204Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

47/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 75.2% · shrunk toward 50%81
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable85
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity17

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes50813¢12¢$61−$5.08$0
China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes76913¢3.7¢$28−$72$0
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes5004¢0.3¢$1.50−$19$0
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes3,0868.1¢0¢$0−$250−$6.89
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2,3264.3¢0¢$0−$100−$2.87
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes2,2000.5¢0¢$0−$11$0
Trump out as President by April 30?Yes2,1222.4¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?Yes1,4297¢0¢$0−$100$0
Trump out as President by March 31?Yes1,3813.2¢0¢$0−$44$0
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,3642.2¢0¢$0−$30$0
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?Yes1,2637.9¢0¢$0−$100−$5.90
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?Yes1,0129.9¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Yes98814.2¢0¢$0−$140−$1.44
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Yes9415.3¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?Yes83312¢0¢$0−$100−$2.64
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?Yes7619.2¢0¢$0−$70$0
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes72713.3¢0¢$0−$97−$1.26
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?Yes7147¢0¢$0−$50−$1.40
Spread: South Africa (-1.5)South Africa7147¢0¢$0−$50−$1.40
Will Solana dip to $40 in June?Yes6757.4¢0¢$0−$50−$3.24
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)Texans64135.9¢0¢$0−$230$0
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?Yes6258¢0¢$0−$50−$1.38
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?Yes6258¢0¢$0−$50−$1.38
Will the US next strike Iran on January 20, 2026 (ET)?Yes6183.2¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?Yes5993.3¢0¢$0−$20$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes5569¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?Yes50010¢0¢$0−$50−$1.35
Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?Yes48810.2¢0¢$0−$50−$1.35
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?Yes47723.1¢0¢$0−$110$0
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)Uruguay47642¢0¢$0−$200−$3.48
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?Yes45522¢0¢$0−$100−$2.34
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)Netherlands43523¢0¢$0−$100−$2.31
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to ScoreYes4297¢0¢$0−$30−$0.84
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?Yes41719.2¢0¢$0−$80−$1.92
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?Yes41724¢0¢$0−$100−$17
Will Ali Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes4006.6¢0¢$0−$26$0
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?Yes40020¢0¢$0−$80−$1.92
Spread: Spain (-1.5)Spain39010.2¢0¢$0−$40−$1.79
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?Yes38513¢0¢$0−$50−$1.30
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?Yes3758¢0¢$0−$30−$0.83
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?Yes36411¢0¢$0−$40−$1.78
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)Jaguars35022.8¢0¢$0−$80−$1.84
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?Yes34529¢0¢$0−$100−$2.13
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes34529¢0¢$0−$100$0
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Brazil33330¢0¢$0−$100−$2.10
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?Yes33321¢0¢$0−$70−$1.66
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?Yes33312¢0¢$0−$40−$1.06
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5Over32646¢0¢$0−$150−$2.43
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC31631.7¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?Yes31316¢0¢$0−$50−$1.26
Spread: Texans (-1.5)Texans29843.6¢0¢$0−$130$0
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?Yes29417¢0¢$0−$50−$1.25
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvancePortugal29434¢0¢$0−$100−$1.98
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?Yes29224¢0¢$0−$70−$1.60
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?Yes28717.4¢0¢$0−$50$0
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?Yes2867¢0¢$0−$20−$0.93
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Norway?Yes28117.8¢0¢$0−$50−$1.23
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5)Korea Republic28025¢0¢$0−$70−$1.57
Spread: England (-1.5)England27614.5¢0¢$0−$40−$1.71
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to AdvanceSouth Africa26926¢0¢$0−$70−$1.55
Will Solana reach $120 in February?Yes26715¢0¢$0−$40$0
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina26549¢0¢$0−$130−$1.99
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 1.5Under26319¢0¢$0−$50−$1.22
Will Hyperliquid reach $56 in February?Yes2608¢0¢$0−$21$0
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes25311.9¢0¢$0−$30−$1.32
Spread: Panama (-1.5)Panama25211.9¢0¢$0−$30−$0.79
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?Yes25016¢0¢$0−$40$0
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?Yes25012¢0¢$0−$30−$0.79
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?Yes25020¢0¢$0−$50−$1.20
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?Yes25020¢0¢$0−$50−$1.20
Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 2 Korea Republic?Yes25012¢0¢$0−$30−$0.79
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Norway?Yes25012¢0¢$0−$30−$0.79
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)Uruguay24740.5¢0¢$0−$100−$1.78
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?Yes24441¢0¢$0−$100−$1.77
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)Cowboys24233¢0¢$0−$80−$1.61
Spread: England (-1.5)England24220.7¢0¢$0−$50−$9.10
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?Yes23821¢0¢$0−$50−$1.19
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)Paraguay23821¢0¢$0−$50−$1.19
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC23442.7¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?Yes23330¢0¢$0−$70−$1.47
Spread: Eagles (-2.5)Eagles23343¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?Yes23113¢0¢$0−$30−$0.78
Spread: Japan (-1.5)Japan22722¢0¢$0−$50−$1.17
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?Yes22236¢0¢$0−$80$0
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?Yes2229¢0¢$0−$20−$0.91
Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in February?Yes22227¢0¢$0−$60$0
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Yes22145.3¢0¢$0−$100−$2.58
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5Over22045.5¢0¢$0−$100−$1.63
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?Yes22022.8¢0¢$0−$50$0
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5Over21347¢0¢$0−$100$0
Spread: Vikings (-1.5)Buccaneers21347¢0¢$0−$100$0
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)Netherlands21119¢0¢$0−$40−$0.97
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No21025¢0¢$0−$53$0
Spread: Rams (-3.5)Rams20848¢0¢$0−$100−$1.56
Spread: Commanders (-3.5)Commanders20848¢0¢$0−$100−$1.56
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?Yes20824¢0¢$0−$50−$1.14
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 4% on any day in Q1?Yes20017¢0¢$0−$34$0
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,760 on the final trading day of January 2026?No20020¢0¢$0−$40$0
Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in February?Yes20012¢0¢$0−$24$0
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 42.5Over20012¢0¢$0−$24$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2027?10¢700$7075%47
BUY YesWill Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?20¢250$5075%47
BUY YesWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?13¢508$6675%47
SELL YesWill Solana dip to $80 by December 31, 2026?22¢477$10575%47
SELL YesWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?22.6¢656$14875%47
BUY RamsSpread: Rams (-1.5)40¢150$6075%47
BUY RamsSpread: Rams (-3.5)48¢208$10075%47
BUY FalconsSpread: Falcons (-2.5)55¢91$5075%47
BUY PatriotsSpread: Patriots (-3.5)49¢204$10075%47
BUY CommandersSpread: Commanders (-3.5)48¢208$10075%47
BUY JetsSpread: Jets (-3.5)43¢186$8075%47
BUY JaguarsSpread: Jaguars (-6.5)19¢158$3075%47
BUY JaguarsSpread: Jaguars (-6.5)26¢192$5075%47
SELL EaglesSpread: Jaguars (-7.5)58¢95$5575%47
BUY EaglesSpread: Jaguars (-7.5)42¢95$4075%47
BUYSpread: Commanders (-3.5) AND Spread: Jets (-2.5) AND Spread: Patriots (-3.5) AND Spread: Steelers (-2.5)6.9¢485$3375%47
BUYEagles vs. Jaguars: O/U 42.5 AND Spread: Jaguars (-7.5)29.1¢166$4875%47
BUYBills vs. Rams: O/U 52.5 AND Ravens vs. Falcons: O/U 44.521.7¢221$4875%47
BUY UnderBuccaneers vs. Cowboys: O/U 42.527¢185$5075%47
BUY CowboysSpread: Cowboys (-6.5)33¢242$8075%47