Traders/Unranked

JesusFK

0x268…bbd7

1y+PoliticsOtherWeather

Polymarket

PnL all-time−$11.7kvol $710k

PnL 30d−$4,025gains $5.15 · losses $4,140

PnL 7d−$1,478win rate 7d 1.1%

Win rate1.0%adj 2.9% · 30d 1.0%

Open value$1,717cash n/a

Positions75 / 1,982open / all-time

Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak

Account age1.0ylast trade 55m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$12.4kbelow peak −$12.4kOct 11

SharpScore inputs

27/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0

Adjusted win rateraw 1.0% · shrunk toward 50%0

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of October 5 2026? · Yesclosed+$4.85 Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 3? · Yesclosed+$0.21 Israel military action against Lebanon on October 9? · Yesclosed+$0.09

Worst markets

Will PPI YoY be 5.2% in July? · Yesopen−$140 Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%? · Yesopen−$140 Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $446,000 and $454,000 on September 30? · Yesclosed−$139 Will "DTF St. Louis" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? · Yesopen−$135 Will Swapped be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? · Yesopen−$131

Open positions · 75

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?	Yes	120	83¢	68¢	$82	−$18	$0	14d 17h
Tokenized stocks available on Robinhood by March 31, 2027?	Yes	159	63¢	51.5¢	$82	−$18	$0	6mo
Will XRP hit $2 by December 31, 2027?	Yes	137	73¢	59.5¢	$82	−$18	$0	15mo
Will Meta's Watermelon model debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher?	Yes	125	80¢	63.5¢	$79	−$21	$0	9mo
Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	161	62¢	46.5¢	$75	−$25	$0	45d 17h
Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	Yes	335	27¢	20.5¢	$69	−$22	−$2.10	9mo
Manchester City punishment announced by December 18?	Yes	250	40¢	26¢	$65	−$35	−$0.76	2mo
Will the IEA ask Germany to release oil stocks by December 31?	Yes	192	52¢	32¢	$62	−$38	$0	3mo
Will Chris Hill win the 2026 Collin County Judge election?	Yes	83	86¢	71¢	$59	−$12	−$2.37	23d 17h
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?	Yes	286	35¢	20.5¢	$59	−$41	−$1.39	27mo
Will Manchester City be deducted Premier League points by June 30, 2027?	Yes	76	85¢	73¢	$56	−$9.17	−$1.97	9mo
Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Yes	500	20¢	11¢	$55	−$45	$0	22mo
Will Marathon win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	476	21¢	11.5¢	$55	−$45	$0	3mo
Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Fire?	Yes	625	16¢	8.5¢	$53	−$47	$0	3mo
Will Kraken be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?	Yes	239	40¢	22¢	$53	−$43	−$0.34	15mo
Will Yakubu Adamu win the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election?	Yes	244	41¢	21¢	$51	−$49	$0	4mo
Will Igor Kršiak win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?	Yes	313	32¢	16¢	$50	−$50	$0	13d 17h
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026?	Yes	435	23¢	11¢	$48	−$52	$0	3mo
Will Moonshot AI be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	Yes	303	33¢	14.5¢	$44	−$56	$0	9mo
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?	Yes	145	69¢	28.5¢	$41	−$59	$0	4mo
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?	Yes	778	18¢	5.2¢	$40	−$100	$0	6mo
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027?	Yes	150	40¢	25.5¢	$38	−$22	−$3.93	9mo
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $5B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	714	14¢	5.3¢	$38	−$62	$0	15mo
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	83	66¢	42.5¢	$35	−$20	−$3.62	9mo
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	Yes	217	46¢	15.5¢	$34	−$66	−$2.00	15mo
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	428	29¢	7.5¢	$32	−$92	−$0.60	24d 17h
Manchester City punishment announced by December 4?	Yes	215	20¢	14.5¢	$31	−$12	−$8.53	54d 17h
Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Yes	588	17¢	5¢	$29	−$71	$0	22mo
Will Steven Snell win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?	Yes	130	64¢	20¢	$26	−$57	−$1.30	23d 17h
Will Cyril Xaba be the next mayor of eThekwini?	Yes	588	17¢	3.5¢	$21	−$79	$0	24d 17h
Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by October 31?	Yes	417	24¢	4.9¢	$20	−$80	$0	19d 17h
Will Coinbase be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?	Yes	185	54¢	10.6¢	$20	−$80	$0	15mo
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Yes	137	73¢	14.2¢	$19	−$81	−$2.82	3mo
Will gas be below $3.75/gallon in any state on October 31?	Yes	41	83¢	47¢	$19	−$15	−$1.05	20d 17h
Will Nkosindiphile Xhakaza be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni?	Yes	244	41¢	5.5¢	$13	−$87	$0	24d 17h
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?	Yes	20	74¢	61¢	$12	−$2.60	−$7.07	9mo
Will the Labour Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	39	54¢	30¢	$12	−$9.33	−$5.85	27d 17h
Will Meccha Chameleon win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	556	18¢	1.9¢	$10	−$90	$0	59d 17h
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	Yes	217	46¢	4.6¢	$9.89	−$90	$0	1d 17h
Will Swapped be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?	Yes	1,077	13¢	0.9¢	$9.15	−$131	$0	6mo
Republican House odds hit 15% by October 31?	Yes	177	14¢	4.7¢	$8.32	−$16	−$2.87	20d 17h
Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 28, 2026?	Yes	173	21¢	4.2¢	$7.18	−$29	−$1.50	16d 17h
Will four or more people dissent the December Fed decision?	Yes	526	19¢	1.3¢	$6.84	−$93	$0	58d 17h
Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?	Yes	5	63¢	44.5¢	$2.15	−$0.90	−$17	23d 17h
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	Yes	4	62.4¢	57.9¢	$2.09	−$0.16	−$5.09	3mo
Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	Yes	20	40¢	8.5¢	$1.70	−$6.30	$0	19d 17h
Will Víctor Robert De La Cruz Rosas win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?	Yes	163	58¢	0.5¢	$0.73	−$94	−$0.47	ended
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	Yes	4	39¢	15.5¢	$0.64	−$0.97	−$8.25	19d 17h
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 9?	Yes	546	15¢	0¢	$0	−$82	−$1.75	ended
Will PPI YoY be 5.2% in July?	Yes	483	29¢	0¢	$0	−$140	$0	ended
Will Chico Rodrigues win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?	Yes	455	22¢	0¢	$0	−$100	$0	ended
Will "DTF St. Louis" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	344	39¢	0¢	$0	−$134	−$0.45	ended
Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 26m?	Yes	323	31¢	0¢	$0	−$100	$0	ended
Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31?	Yes	320	18¢	0¢	$0	−$58	−$36	ended
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on October 2?	Yes	244	41¢	0¢	$0	−$100	$0	ended
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?	Yes	226	62¢	0¢	$0	−$140	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 13?	Yes	155	62¢	0¢	$0	−$96	−$0.20	ended
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	119	84¢	0¢	$0	−$100	−$0.56	3mo
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	118	85¢	0¢	$0	−$100	$0	ended
Will Kai or Speed die to a Warden?	Yes	116	86¢	0¢	$0	−$100	$0	ended
Will Linke win between 12% and 15% of all valid second votes?	Yes	107	32¢	0¢	$0	−$34	−$8.60	ended
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 11?	Yes	95	29¢	0¢	$0	−$28	−$0.15	ended
Will Ronnie Murchinson-Rivera be the FL-06 Democratic nominee?	Yes	80	30¢	0¢	$0	−$24	−$5.11	ended
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 20?	Yes	61	33¢	0¢	$0	−$20	−$6.18	ended
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	50	16¢	0¢	$0	−$8.00	−$1.67	ended
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 17?	Yes	45	24¢	0¢	$0	−$11	−$2.92	ended
Will Linke win between 11% and 14% of all valid second votes?	Yes	41	47¢	0¢	$0	−$19	−$5.60	ended
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 10?	Yes	35	50¢	0¢	$0	−$18	−$1.86	ended
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on September 28?	Yes	6	32¢	0¢	$0	−$1.88	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on August 16?	Yes	6	21¢	0¢	$0	−$1.20	−$2.09	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	5	91¢	0¢	$0	−$5.00	−$0.03	ended
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 2?	Yes	4	30¢	0¢	$0	−$1.29	$0	ended
Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 250k?	Yes	4	52¢	0¢	$0	−$1.84	−$4.83	ended
Spurs vs. Knicks	Spurs	3	62¢	0¢	$0	−$1.90	−$2.33	ended
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on September 16?	Yes	3	37¢	0¢	$0	−$1.11	−$2.82	ended

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp
55m ago	SELL Yes	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	15¢	625	$94	1%	27
1h ago	SELL Yes	Will Manchester City be deducted Premier League points by June 30, 2027?	81¢	41	$33	1%	27
1h ago	SELL Yes	Manchester City punishment announced by December 4?	18¢	11	$2.06	1%	27
5h ago	SELL Yes	Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?	17.1¢	426	$73	1%	27
5h ago	SELL Yes	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	18¢	124	$22	1%	27
5h ago	SELL Yes	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	17.8¢	344	$61	1%	27
6h ago	SELL Yes	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	52¢	192	$100	1%	27
6h ago	SELL Yes	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	33.8¢	257	$87	1%	27
7h ago	SELL Yes	Will October 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	85¢	17	$15	1%	27
7h ago	SELL Yes	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	25¢	219	$55	1%	27
9h ago	SELL Yes	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	27¢	333	$90	1%	27
10h ago	SELL Yes	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	60.3¢	58	$35	1%	27
10h ago	SELL Yes	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 32M tonnes at end of October 2026?	88¢	30	$26	1%	27
10h ago	SELL Yes	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?	63¢	23	$14	1%	27
11h ago	SELL Yes	Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	60.3¢	157	$95	1%	27
11h ago	SELL Yes	Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027?	82¢	65	$53	1%	27
12h ago	SELL Yes	Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?	32¢	28	$8.93	1%	27
12h ago	SELL Yes	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	32¢	0	$0.01	1%	27
12h ago	SELL Yes	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	32¢	3	$0.82	1%	27
15h ago	SELL Yes	Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	58¢	10	$5.80	1%	27