PnL all-time−$1,448vol $160k
PnL 30d−$46gains $184 · losses $24
PnL 7d+$9.89win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate84.7%adj 83.1% · 30d 81.4%
Open value$457cash n/a
Positions8 / 445open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 16h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$1,311below peak −$1,653Oct 11
SharpScore inputs
46/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 84.7% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable88
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 23? · Noclosed+$68Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$58Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on September 4? · Noclosed+$50Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 29? · Noclosed+$46Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 16? · Noclosed+$39
Worst markets
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on September 4? · Noclosed−$1,161Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 31? · Noclosed−$1,048Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on September 17? · Noopen−$217Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 21? · Noclosed−$162Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on September 6? · Noclosed−$66
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 12? | No | 428 | 99.7¢ | 99.8¢ | $427 | +$0.44 | $0 | |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 37 | 83¢ | 81.5¢ | $30 | −$0.55 | $0 | |
| Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on September 17? | No | 195 | 97.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$190 | −$27 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on September 25? | Yes | 15 | 19.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.90 | −$0.12 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on September 17? | Yes | 10 | 23¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.30 | −$0.09 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on September 16? | Yes | 5 | 17¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.85 | −$0.04 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 16? | Yes | 5 | 33¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.65 | −$0.06 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 25? | Yes | 5 | 35¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.75 | −$0.06 |
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