PnL all-time−$1,733vol $240k
PnL 30d−$1,240gains $134 · losses $1,469
PnL 7d+$92win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate25.0%adj 38.9% · 30d 37.5%
Open value$87cash n/a
Positions2 / 19open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.8ylast trade 22h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$1,728below peak −$1,728Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
15/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 25.0% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable43
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · Noopen+$92Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? · Noclosed+$62Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? · Yesclosed+$41Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? · Noclosed+$32Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? · Noopen+$3.99
Worst markets
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$819Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$442Databricks IPO before 2027? · Noclosed−$426Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Noclosed−$145US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$63
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | No | 90 | 67¢ | 67.5¢ | $61 | +$0.45 | +$92 | |
| Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? | No | 28 | 80.1¢ | 95.2¢ | $27 | +$4.21 | −$0.22 |
Recent trades
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