sharpside
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Traders/Rank #5,560

Nutty-Shopping

0x26b…4486
WhaleWR 70+WR 60+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$4,383vol $739k
PnL 30d+$648gains $143 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$287win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate73.0%adj 71.5% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$62.8kcash n/a
Positions45 / 327open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 12d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$1,102below peak −$554Oct 11

SharpScore inputs

39/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 73.0% · shrunk toward 50%79
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable84
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d59
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 45

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No21.1k94.4¢97.8¢$20.6k+$711+$189
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No16.6k75.6¢94.5¢$15.7k+$3,132$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes7,99484.1¢90.5¢$7,234+$509$0
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No3,90089.5¢97¢$3,783+$291−$185
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?No3,00096.1¢100¢$2,999+$116$0
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No2,33464.3¢93.5¢$2,182+$682$0
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?No2,02778.9¢95.9¢$1,943+$343$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No2,20085.5¢83.5¢$1,837−$43$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo1,50092¢91.5¢$1,373−$7.50$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No1,20188.5¢97.4¢$1,169+$106+$212
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?No1,00077.7¢97.3¢$973+$196+$201
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes1,80060.8¢41.8¢$752−$342$0
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes92654¢48.4¢$449−$51$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2,89934.5¢15.5¢$448−$552$0
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes40449.5¢89.9¢$363+$163$0
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?No50055¢59.5¢$298+$23$0
Iran Nuke before 2027?No28089.8¢96.5¢$270+$19$0
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?No25064¢77.5¢$194+$34+$15
Bitcoin BIP-360 implemented in 2026?No28865.6¢65.9¢$190+$0.85+$4.51
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No3,31375.6¢0¢$0−$2,506−$402
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No2,70070.4¢0¢$0−$1,900$0
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?No2,22789.8¢0¢$0−$2,000$0
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?Yes1,80011.1¢0¢$0−$200$0
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No1,40085.6¢0¢$0−$1,198−$151
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?No1,36514.6¢0¢$0−$200$0
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?No1,34182¢0¢$0−$1,100$0
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?No1,06494¢0¢$0−$1,000$0
Will MrBeast hit 105.5 billion views by December 31? No1,00699.4¢0¢$0−$1,000$0
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?No90053.9¢0¢$0−$485$0
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No75983.2¢0¢$0−$632−$112
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?No70041¢0¢$0−$287$0
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?No65025¢0¢$0−$163+$13
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes60056¢0¢$0−$336$0
Will Murray die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes51823.1¢0¢$0−$120$0
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes50075¢0¢$0−$375$0
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?No40085¢0¢$0−$340+$3.00
Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiYes40066¢0¢$0−$264$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?No40051¢0¢$0−$204$0
LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 WinnerEDward Gaming36881.3¢0¢$0−$299$0
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?Yes32668.9¢0¢$0−$225−$21
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?No30077¢0¢$0−$231$0
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?No20094.1¢0¢$0−$188$0
LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group NirvanaLNG Esports10076.5¢0¢$0−$77−$24
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendInvictus Gaming10061.5¢0¢$0−$62−$42
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by January 31, 2026?Yes7455¢0¢$0−$41$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?86¢1,000$86073%39
BUY NoWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?94¢1,000$94073%39
SELL HANJIN BRIONLoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner5¢169$8.4773%39
BUY HANJIN BRIONLoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner59¢169$10073%39
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?88¢544$47873%39
BUY NoWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?96.4¢207$20073%39
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?96.2¢1,000$96273%39
BUY NoWill James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?99.5¢3,000$2,98573%39
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?93¢1,075$1,00073%39
BUY NoWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?95¢1,000$95073%39
BUY NoWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?96.5¢2,000$1,93073%39
BUY NoWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?96.3¢1,511$1,45573%39
BUY NoWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?96.2¢500$48173%39
SELL YesWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?57¢704$40273%39
SELL NoPuffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?77¢2$1.6173%39
SELL NoUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?86¢600$51673%39
SELL NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?46¢519$23973%39
SELL NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?36¢1,000$36073%39
SELL Invictus GamingLoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend20¢100$2073%39
BUY YesWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?11.1¢1,800$20073%39