PnL all-time+$42vol $7,940
PnL 30d−$332gains $295 · losses $252
PnL 7d−$63win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate85.7%adj 59.3% · 30d 85.7%
Open value$3,741cash n/a
Positions11 / 18open / all-time
Max drawdown−47.1%of equity peak
Account age48dlast trade 7d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$14below peak −$332Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
27/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale23
Adjusted win rateraw 85.7% · shrunk toward 50%48
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable42
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d76
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity53
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Concrete launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$111Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? · Noclosed+$73Concrete FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yesclosed+$67Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yesopen+$30Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)? · Noclosed+$25
Worst markets
Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch? · Yesclosed−$252Will Multipli.fi launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yesopen−$61Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)? · Yesopen−$45Will Ritual launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yesopen−$23Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch? · Yesopen−$9.66
Open positions · 11
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Multipli.fi FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | 1,078 | 94.6¢ | 96¢ | $1,034 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 999 | 92.5¢ | 95.5¢ | $954 | +$30 | $0 | |
| Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 712 | 69¢ | 70¢ | $498 | +$7.25 | $0 | |
| Multipli.fi FDV above $20M one day after launch? | Yes | 468 | 95.1¢ | 95.8¢ | $448 | +$2.96 | $0 | |
| Will Ritual launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 347 | 82.2¢ | 75.6¢ | $262 | −$23 | $0 | |
| Will Multipli.fi launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 295 | 90¢ | 69.3¢ | $204 | −$61 | $0 | |
| Multipli.fi FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 192 | 80.9¢ | 89¢ | $171 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Multipli.fi FDV above $150M one day after launch? | Yes | 105 | 74¢ | 74.5¢ | $78 | +$0.53 | $0 | |
| Will Cambria launch a token by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 65 | 95.1¢ | 95.1¢ | $62 | −$0.02 | $0 | |
| Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch? | Yes | 51 | 75.6¢ | 56.5¢ | $29 | −$9.66 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 60 | 75¢ | 0.2¢ | $0.09 | −$45 | $0 |
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