PnL all-time+$70vol $1,578
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate100.0%adj 60.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$191cash n/a
Positions3 / 8open / all-time
Max drawdown−5.1%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 9mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$70below peak $0Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
24/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale26
Adjusted win rateraw 100.0% · shrunk toward 50%50
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable30
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity95
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? · Yesclosed+$31Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025? · Noopen+$21Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30? · Yesclosed+$5.97Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025? · Yesopen+$5.54Nothing Ever Happens: November · Yesclosed+$3.16
Worst markets
Nothing hereNo losing markets recorded — or not enough history.
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025? | No | 145 | 85.5¢ | 100¢ | $145 | +$21 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025? | Yes | 26 | 78.3¢ | 100¢ | $26 | +$5.54 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025? | No | 21 | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | $21 | +$0.60 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s
| Time | Side | Market | Price | Shares | Value | Trader WR | Sharp | Flags | Transaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUY No | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025? | 85.5¢ | 145 | $124 | 100% | 24 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025? | 78.3¢ | 26 | $20 | 100% | 24 | |||
| BUY No | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025? | 97.1¢ | 21 | $20 | 100% | 24 | |||
| BUY Yes | Nothing Ever Happens: November | 95¢ | 63 | $60 | 100% | 24 | |||
| BUY No | US x Venezuela military engagement by November 27? | 99.6¢ | 100 | $100 | 100% | 24 | |||
| BUY Yes | Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | 94¢ | 426 | $400 | 100% | 24 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will Gemini 3.0 be released by December 31? | 99.5¢ | 201 | $200 | 100% | 24 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will Gemini 3.0 be released by December 31? | 99.5¢ | 302 | $300 | 100% | 24 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30? | 97.1¢ | 206 | $200 | 100% | 24 |