PnL all-time+$219vol $54.8k
PnL 30d+$149gains $874 · losses $212
PnL 7d+$150win rate 7d 80.0%
Win rate89.6%adj 88.1% · 30d 85.0%
Open value$781cash n/a
Positions386 / 1,261open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age5.0ylast trade 8h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
Not enough history to draw an equity curve.
SharpScore inputs
81/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale33
Adjusted win rateraw 89.6% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 7? · Yesclosed+$41Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yesclosed+$32Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 5? · Yesclosed+$29Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 4? · Yesclosed+$29Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · Noclosed+$28
Worst markets
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Noopen−$190Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesopen−$178Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesopen−$115Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesopen−$96Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Noclosed−$78
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | No | 200 | 92¢ | 95.4¢ | $191 | +$6.70 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | No | 188 | 96¢ | 99.5¢ | $187 | +$6.58 | +$0.15 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | No | 100 | 85¢ | 100¢ | $100 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | No | 100 | 97¢ | 94.3¢ | $94 | −$2.70 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | No | 100 | 95.4¢ | 92.2¢ | $92 | −$3.25 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | No | 63 | 86¢ | 97.4¢ | $61 | +$7.18 | +$3.66 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | No | 50 | 89¢ | 91.5¢ | $46 | +$1.25 | $0 | |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | No | 56 | 18¢ | 18¢ | $10 | $0 | $0 |
Recent trades
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