| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 3,000 | 64.3¢ | 62.5¢ | $1,875 | −$55 | $0 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 2,000 | 87¢ | 86.5¢ | $1,730 | −$10 | $0 | |
| Will Frank Scarpitti win the 2026 Markham mayoral election? | Yes | 1,734 | 91.6¢ | 94.3¢ | $1,635 | +$46 | −$6.72 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1,891 | 69.4¢ | 71.5¢ | $1,352 | +$39 | $0 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 2,000 | 63.5¢ | 64.5¢ | $1,290 | +$20 | $0 | |
| Will Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera win the 2027 Colima Governor Election? | No | 6,286 | 45.4¢ | 15.5¢ | $974 | −$1,881 | +$104 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | No | 1,000 | 87¢ | 94.5¢ | $945 | +$75 | $0 | |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 1,000 | 86.5¢ | 89¢ | $890 | +$25 | $0 | |
| Will Ruth González Silva win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election? | No | 2,103 | 49.6¢ | 36.5¢ | $768 | −$275 | +$25 | |
| Will a hurricane make landfall in Georgia by November 30, 2026? | No | 645 | 92.7¢ | 96.4¢ | $621 | +$24 | +$1.38 | |
| Will Professora Dorinha win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election? | Yes | 960 | 49.1¢ | 58.5¢ | $562 | +$91 | −$0.85 | |
| Will Yang Chiung-ying win the next Taichung Mayor election? | No | 534 | 94.6¢ | 99.5¢ | $531 | +$26 | +$3.10 | |
| Will Umaru Dikko Radda win the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election? | No | 2,337 | 0¢ | 21¢ | $491 | +$491 | $0 | |
| Will Garba Yakubu Lado win the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election? | Yes | 3,758 | 10.8¢ | 12.5¢ | $470 | +$65 | $0 | |
| Will Masao Uchibori win the 2026 Fukushima gubernatorial election? | Yes | 464 | 93¢ | 94¢ | $436 | +$4.64 | +$1.61 | |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | No | 600 | 68¢ | 71.5¢ | $429 | +$21 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | No | 1,459 | 30.2¢ | 26.5¢ | $387 | −$55 | −$215 | |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 378 | 92.8¢ | 95.1¢ | $360 | +$8.70 | +$93 | |
| Will a hurricane make landfall in Maryland by November 30, 2026? | No | 372 | 96.9¢ | 96.2¢ | $358 | −$2.97 | $0 | |
| Will a hurricane make landfall in Massachusetts by November 30, 2026? | No | 361 | 95¢ | 98.2¢ | $355 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | Yes | 2,065 | 44.7¢ | 16¢ | $330 | −$592 | −$733 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? | Yes | 1,000 | 38¢ | 31.5¢ | $315 | −$65 | $0 | |
| Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 343 | 71.5¢ | 88.5¢ | $303 | +$58 | −$1.18 | |
| Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election? | Yes | 471 | 44.4¢ | 62.5¢ | $294 | +$85 | +$15 | |
| Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? | No | 286 | 87.9¢ | 95.3¢ | $272 | +$21 | +$20 | |
| Will a hurricane make landfall in Maine by November 30, 2026? | No | 275 | 97¢ | 97¢ | $267 | −$0.02 | −$0.16 | |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 285 | 49.7¢ | 83.5¢ | $238 | +$96 | $0 | |
| Will a hurricane make landfall in Alabama by November 30, 2026? | No | 321 | 91¢ | 73.5¢ | $236 | −$56 | $0 | |
| Will Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar win the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election? | Yes | 529 | 25.3¢ | 41.5¢ | $219 | +$85 | +$0.41 | |
| Will Isidro Flores Sosa win the next Arequipa mayoral elections? | No | 183 | 87.6¢ | 99.9¢ | $183 | +$22 | $0 | |
| Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 375 | 33.5¢ | 46.5¢ | $175 | +$49 | +$1.10 | |
| Will Geraldine Ponce Méndez win the 2027 Nayarit Governor Election? | No | 178 | 68¢ | 96.5¢ | $172 | +$51 | +$39 | |
| Will Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy win the next Arequipa mayoral elections? | No | 170 | 77.3¢ | 98.5¢ | $167 | +$36 | +$58 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 600 | 31.1¢ | 25.5¢ | $153 | −$34 | −$99 | |
| Will Cloud9 Kia Qualify for Worlds 2026? | Yes | 154 | 33¢ | 99¢ | $152 | +$101 | +$13 | |
| Will Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu win the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election? | Yes | 500 | 25¢ | 28.5¢ | $143 | +$18 | $0 | |
| Will Otu Bassey Edet win the 2027 Cross River State gubernatorial election? | No | 690 | 13¢ | 20¢ | $138 | +$48 | $0 | |
| Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election? | No | 1,115 | 15.3¢ | 11¢ | $123 | −$48 | +$42 | |
| Will Kyle Hamilton win the 2026 Fernie mayoral election? | Yes | 366 | 33.3¢ | 31.5¢ | $115 | −$6.73 | +$1.75 | |
| Will Honor of Kings Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award? | No | 119 | 74¢ | 95.9¢ | $114 | +$26 | $0 | |
| Will Trump visit Greenland by October 31? | No | 111 | 91¢ | 99.1¢ | $110 | +$8.94 | $0 | |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 125 | 83¢ | 87.5¢ | $109 | +$5.61 | +$15 | |
| Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? | Yes | 500 | 17¢ | 21.5¢ | $107 | +$22 | $0 | |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting? | No | 106 | 86.6¢ | 97.7¢ | $104 | +$12 | $0 | |
| First Round Outright Winner in the LA-02 House Election? | Yes | 105 | 75.3¢ | 98¢ | $103 | +$24 | +$0.02 | |
| Will Hsu Chih-fu win the next Penghu County Magistrate election? | No | 102 | 96.4¢ | 99.9¢ | $102 | +$3.51 | +$1.84 | |
| Will Abubakar Malami win the 2027 Kebbi State gubernatorial election? | Yes | 989 | 10.1¢ | 9.9¢ | $98 | −$2.21 | $0 | |
| Will Mark Carney visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,014 | 22.5¢ | 9.5¢ | $96 | −$132 | +$15 | |
| Will Armando González (Guadalajara) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Liga MX season? | Yes | 2,080 | 9¢ | 4.5¢ | $94 | −$94 | $0 | |
| Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? | Yes | 380 | 23¢ | 24.5¢ | $93 | +$5.70 | $0 | |
| Will Vicentinho Júnior win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election? | Yes | 239 | 36.4¢ | 39¢ | $93 | +$6.25 | +$83 | |
| Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 495 | 38.2¢ | 18.5¢ | $92 | −$98 | $0 | |
| Will Qatar join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | 78¢ | 90.5¢ | $90 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will Bloomberg IPO by March 31, 2027? | No | 100 | 87¢ | 89.5¢ | $90 | +$2.50 | −$74 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 381 | 28¢ | 22.5¢ | $86 | −$21 | $0 | |
| Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 304 | 22¢ | 27¢ | $82 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026? | No | 100 | 83.8¢ | 80.5¢ | $81 | −$3.30 | $0 | |
| Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 87 | 80¢ | 91.5¢ | $80 | +$10 | $0 | |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | No | 500 | 15.1¢ | 15.6¢ | $78 | +$2.60 | $0 | |
| Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by December 31, 2026? | No | 81 | 50.6¢ | 93.5¢ | $76 | +$35 | +$80 | |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? | No | 82 | 77¢ | 91.4¢ | $75 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will CTBC Flying Oyster Qualify for Worlds 2026? | Yes | 77 | 33.5¢ | 95¢ | $73 | +$47 | +$5.61 | |
| Will Egypt join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 758 | 25.9¢ | 9.5¢ | $72 | −$125 | +$9.10 | |
| Will Tsai Sung-yi win the next Chiayi County Magistrate election? | No | 65 | 97.1¢ | 99.3¢ | $64 | +$1.45 | +$0.27 | |
| Will Wu Pin-jui win the next Chiayi County Magistrate election? | Yes | 679 | 6.5¢ | 8.5¢ | $58 | +$14 | +$85 | |
| Will Jannik Sinner have 15,000+ ATP Points Before 2027? | No | 58 | 77¢ | 99.2¢ | $57 | +$13 | +$10 | |
| Will Huang Kuo-chang win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | No | 55 | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | $55 | +$0.33 | −$1.16 | |
| Will Mike O'Reilly win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election? | Yes | 76 | 56¢ | 71.5¢ | $54 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will Bloomberg IPO by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 160 | 15.7¢ | 33¢ | $53 | +$28 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? | No | 57 | 86¢ | 84.5¢ | $48 | −$0.85 | −$52 | |
| Will Ladislav Lörinc win the 2026 Košice mayoral election? | Yes | 100 | 53¢ | 46.5¢ | $47 | −$6.50 | $0 | |
| Will Team Aurora Make a Roster Change by December 31? | No | 63 | 63.5¢ | 73.5¢ | $46 | +$6.29 | $0 | |
| Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 60 | 64.7¢ | 73.5¢ | $44 | +$5.27 | +$2.45 | |
| Will Princess Faku be the next mayor of Buffalo City? | No | 315 | 43¢ | 13¢ | $41 | −$95 | $0 | |
| Will Wu Shu-chin win the next Penghu County Magistrate election? | Yes | 215 | 18.4¢ | 18.5¢ | $40 | +$0.28 | +$6.62 | |
| Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%? | No | 40 | 87¢ | 98.7¢ | $39 | +$4.68 | $0 | |
| Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%? | No | 51 | 90¢ | 75.4¢ | $38 | −$7.40 | −$7.60 | |
| Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%? | Yes | 147 | 70.1¢ | 26¢ | $38 | −$65 | $0 | |
| Will Rory Nisan win the 2026 Burlington mayoral election? | Yes | 111 | 18¢ | 31.5¢ | $35 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will Emmanuel Macron visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | No | 40 | 29¢ | 82¢ | $33 | +$21 | +$16 | |
| Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 40 | 88.5¢ | 82.2¢ | $33 | −$2.52 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 61 | 32.7¢ | 53.5¢ | $33 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will Lionel Messi win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player? | Yes | 40 | 0.3¢ | 80¢ | $32 | +$32 | $0 | |
| Will Rachel De Basso be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County? | No | 120 | 26.2¢ | 26.5¢ | $32 | +$0.40 | $0 | |
| Will Democrats win exactly 6 House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 40 | 91¢ | 79¢ | $32 | −$4.80 | $0 | |
| Will Democrats win exactly 10 House seats in Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 40 | 74¢ | 78.5¢ | $31 | +$1.80 | −$5.80 | |
| Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | No | 27 | 66¢ | 99.8¢ | $26 | +$8.96 | $0 | |
| Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 40 | 93¢ | 65.5¢ | $26 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Will the Bank of Korea hold at the November 2026 meeting? | No | 50 | 35¢ | 51.5¢ | $26 | +$8.25 | $0 | |
| Will Democrats win exactly 11 House seats in Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 40 | 90.5¢ | 60.5¢ | $24 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will Labor win the most seats in the next Victorian state election? | No | 30 | 68¢ | 77.5¢ | $24 | +$2.89 | $0 | |
| Will Chou Ni-an win the next Penghu County Magistrate election? | No | 25 | 96¢ | 93.9¢ | $23 | −$0.54 | $0 | |
| Will Reid Hamer-Jackson win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election? | No | 24 | 75.9¢ | 94.5¢ | $22 | +$4.40 | −$0.05 | |
| Will Huang Shih-chieh win the next Taoyuan Mayor election? | Yes | 512 | 7.3¢ | 4.3¢ | $22 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will Scott Gillingham win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election? | Yes | 29 | 62.8¢ | 74¢ | $22 | +$3.28 | $0 | |
| Will Democrats win exactly 48 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 80 | 47.2¢ | 25.5¢ | $20 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will Per Persson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland? | No | 20 | 83¢ | 100¢ | $20 | +$3.39 | +$2.20 | |
| Will Helene Andersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland? | No | 20 | 91¢ | 100¢ | $20 | +$1.79 | $0 | |
| Will Axel Storckenfeldt be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland? | No | 20 | 91¢ | 100¢ | $20 | +$1.79 | $0 | |
| Will Camilla Karlman be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Blekinge? | No | 20 | 91¢ | 100¢ | $20 | +$1.79 | $0 | |