PnL all-time+$1,234vol $3.75M
PnL 30d+$42gains $0 · losses $67
PnL 7d+$42win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate45.0%adj 45.4% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$4,993cash n/a
Positions12 / 242open / all-time
Max drawdown−46.6%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 8h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$1,627below peak $0Oct 10
SharpScore inputs
52/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale44
Adjusted win rateraw 45.0% · shrunk toward 50%13
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable79
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity53
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? · Noclosed+$1,160Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Noclosed+$142Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Noopen+$129No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$50Rolex Paris Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Joao Fonseca · Khachanovclosed+$44
Worst markets
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? · Noclosed−$86Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Noclosed−$44Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Noopen−$31Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,350-$4,475 in January? · Yesclosed−$31Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Noclosed−$22
Open positions · 12
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | No | 2,344 | 99.3¢ | 98¢ | $2,296 | −$31 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | No | 2,336 | 92.6¢ | 98.2¢ | $2,293 | +$129 | $0 | |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on October 11? | No | 400 | 99.9¢ | 99.8¢ | $399 | −$0.60 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 5 | 40.6¢ | 88.6¢ | $4.37 | +$2.37 | $0 | |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 1 | 92¢ | 99.2¢ | $1.08 | +$0.08 | $0 | |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 5 | 58¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.90 | −$0.04 | |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 5 | 23¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.15 | −$0.03 | |
| Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-31? | Yes | 4 | 25¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.02 | |
| Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-08-18? | Yes | 3 | 30¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.04 | |
| Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-09? | Yes | 3 | 68¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.00 | −$0.02 | |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 2 | 64¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.01 | |
| Operário Ferroviário EC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5 | Over | 2 | 64.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | $0 |
Recent trades
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