sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,006

TheImpasse

0x282…a954
1y+CryptoCulturePolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$137kvol $1.22M
PnL 30d+$34.8kgains $64.4k · losses $220
PnL 7d−$62win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate26.0%adj 26.9% · 30d 69.6%
Open value$12.5kcash n/a
Positions370 / 1,906open / all-time
Max drawdown−10.0%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 12h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$135kbelow peak −$19.1kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

30/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 26.0% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity90

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?No3,43986.8¢90.4¢$3,108+$123+$16
Richard Madden announced as next James Bond?No87395.6¢99.7¢$870+$35$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes95093¢90.5¢$860−$24$0
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No1,70339.5¢45.5¢$774+$101−$1.61
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes7,74714.7¢9.5¢$736−$406$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No6,72912.2¢9.5¢$639−$181$0
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Yes1,44132.9¢37.3¢$537+$63$0
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?No65876.4¢73.7¢$485−$18$0
Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?Yes64130.8¢56.5¢$362+$165$0
Will Taylor Swift headline Coachella 2027?No23391.4¢97.2¢$226+$13$0
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?No27176.4¢82.2¢$223+$16$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-19 House seat?No23295.5¢95.5¢$222+$0.06$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-04 House seat?No23095¢95.4¢$219+$0.92$0
Will Justin Bieber headline Coachella 2027?No20291.3¢99¢$200+$16$0
Will the Republican Party win the OR-04 House seat?No19295.7¢95.5¢$183−$0.33$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election?Yes64320.9¢27.5¢$177+$43$0
Will Dua Lipa headline Coachella 2027?No49927.4¢34¢$170+$33$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OR-04 House election?No16087¢96.4¢$154+$15$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-10 House election?No15689¢96.1¢$150+$11$0
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-12 House seat?No14396.4¢95.4¢$137−$1.40$0
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-21 House seat?No14395¢95.5¢$137+$0.71$0
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?No41148¢32.5¢$134−$64$0
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-04 House seat?No13495¢95.5¢$128+$0.67$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KS-01 House election?No13385.3¢95.5¢$127+$14$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-11 House seat?No13496¢95¢$127−$1.34$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-05 House seat?No12093.5¢93.4¢$112−$0.17$0
Will Radiohead headline Coachella 2027?No12879¢85.5¢$109+$8.32$0
Will BTS headline Coachella 2027?No12478¢87.5¢$109+$12$0
Will the Republican Party win the GA-02 House seat?No10794.8¢94.6¢$102−$0.31$0
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?No21144¢46¢$97+$4.22$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-03 House election?No10090.2¢94.8¢$95+$4.55$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-05 House seat?No8193¢93.5¢$76+$0.41$0
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Yes10960.2¢67.5¢$74+$7.99$0
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No16939¢38.5¢$65−$0.84$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-06 House election?No6691.7¢97.4¢$64+$3.76$0
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?No11741¢54.5¢$64+$16$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo15642¢37.5¢$59−$7.02$0
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?No12145.5¢45.5¢$55−$0.03$0
Will SZA headline Coachella 2027?No11844.7¢44¢$52−$0.78$0
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No7230¢42.5¢$31+$9.00−$2.00
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-07 House seat?No3294¢94.5¢$30+$0.16$0
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes5949¢45.5¢$27−$2.06$0
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No6646¢31.5¢$21−$9.57$0
Will the Democratic Party win the OK-05 House seat?No1988¢93.5¢$18+$1.04$0
Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Yes16917.1¢10.1¢$17−$12$0
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes4946¢32.5¢$16−$6.61$0
Will Connor Wood win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?Yes5838.9¢2.2¢$13−$39$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-19 House election?Yes2322.6¢4.1¢$9.41+$3.35$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-10 House seat?Yes1464.8¢5.9¢$8.61+$1.68$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-12 House election?Yes1422.3¢6.1¢$8.59+$5.35$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OR-04 House election?Yes1922.9¢3.7¢$7.01+$1.53$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-05 House election?Yes1254.4¢5.5¢$6.81+$1.29$0
Will the Republican Party win the OR-04 House seat?Yes1496¢4.5¢$6.71−$2.23$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-21 House election?Yes1433.7¢4.4¢$6.29+$1.00$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election?Yes1093.3¢5.2¢$5.68+$2.10$0
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-01 House seat?Yes1216¢4.5¢$5.45−$1.81$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-05 House election?Yes814.8¢6.1¢$4.90+$0.98$0
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?No1427¢3.3¢$4.62−$5.32$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-11 House election?Yes1122.9¢2.9¢$3.30+$0.03$0
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-06 House seat?Yes655¢4.5¢$2.92−$0.33$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-04 House election?Yes559.1¢4.3¢$2.35−$2.64$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-04 House election?Yes1342.7¢1.7¢$2.21−$1.41$0
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Yes524.6¢26.4¢$1.32+$0.09$0
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-03 House seat?Yes955¢1.4¢$1.28−$3.47$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OK-05 House election?Yes1610¢7.5¢$1.20−$0.41$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-07 House election?Yes324.3¢3.4¢$1.09−$0.27$0
Will “Hate That I Made You Love Me” by Ariana Grande win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Yes48.4k27.4¢0¢$0−$13.3k−$373
Will “Stateside + Zara Larsson” by PinkPantheress win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Yes22.0k41.1¢0¢$0−$9,012−$258
Will Ariana Grande win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Yes15.3k34.5¢0¢$0−$5,285−$160
Will “Stateside + Zara Larsson” by PinkPantheress win Best Collaboration at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Yes4,64247.4¢0¢$0−$2,200−$53
Will Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series?No1,37119.4¢0¢$0−$266−$11
Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?No78017.8¢0¢$0−$138−$5.70
Will Sienna Spiro win Best New Artist at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?No67124¢0¢$0−$161−$0.45
France vs. Spain: France O/U 3.5 CornersUnder57932¢0¢$0−$185−$6.29
Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5642.1¢0¢$0−$12−$0.58
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No50218.6¢0¢$0−$93−$3.80
Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No42244¢0¢$0−$186−$5.20
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 3.5 CornersUnder28433.6¢0¢$0−$95−$3.17
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes2068.9¢0¢$0−$18−$0.67
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No19964.7¢0¢$0−$129−$1.82
Will Hundred Fingers be the runner-up of AGT Season 21?Yes17814.6¢0¢$0−$26−$1.11
Argentina to score first vs. England?Yes15942¢0¢$0−$67−$1.94
England vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?Yes15811¢0¢$0−$17−$0.77
Will “Aperture” by Harry Styles win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Yes1200.1¢0¢$0−$0.12−$0.01
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 England?Yes1163.9¢0¢$0−$4.52−$0.22
Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No11270.1¢0¢$0−$78−$1.17
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETUp5618¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETUp5618¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETUp5618¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETUp5618¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETDown5618¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETUp5618¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETDown5618¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETUp5618¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETUp5618¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETUp5618¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETDown5618¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETUp5618¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETUp5618¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETUp5618¢0¢$0−$10.00$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Radiohead headline Coachella 2027?79¢128$10126%30
BUY NoWill SZA headline Coachella 2027?44.7¢118$5326%30
BUY NoWill Dua Lipa headline Coachella 2027?35¢19$6.6526%30
BUY NoWill BTS headline Coachella 2027?78¢124$9726%30
BUY NoWill Dua Lipa headline Coachella 2027?34.4¢46$1626%30
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party win the TX-21 House seat?95¢143$13626%30
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-21 House election?3.7¢143$5.2926%30
BUY NoWill the Republican Party win the OR-04 House seat?95¢63$6026%30
BUY YesWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OR-04 House election?3¢63$1.8926%30
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party win the IA-04 House seat?95¢134$12726%30
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-04 House election?2.7¢134$3.6226%30
BUY NoWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?51.1¢173$8826%30
BUY NoWill Dua Lipa headline Coachella 2027?33¢213$7026%30
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party win the OK-05 House seat?88¢19$1726%30
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OK-05 House election?10¢16$1.6226%30
BUY NoWill Justin Bieber headline Coachella 2027?91.3¢202$18426%30
BUY NoWill Taylor Swift headline Coachella 2027?91.4¢233$21326%30
BUY NoWill Dua Lipa headline Coachella 2027?20¢221$4426%30
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?93¢950$88426%30
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?8¢470$3826%30