sharpside
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Traders/Rank #6,109

0x282…e8e6

0x282…e8e6
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$1,483vol $100k
PnL 30d+$349gains $1,068 · losses $351
PnL 7d−$108win rate 7d 75.0%
Win rate83.2%adj 78.0% · 30d 85.4%
Open value$4,751cash n/a
Positions27 / 134open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 10h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$922below peak −$629Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

53/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale45
Adjusted win rateraw 83.2% · shrunk toward 50%95
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable71
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 27

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No2,18057.7¢53.9¢$1,174−$83$0
Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?No84177.7¢76.5¢$643−$10$0
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No70782.8¢84¢$594+$8.78+$60
Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?No58874.3¢68.5¢$403−$34$0
Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?No44866¢75.2¢$337+$41$0
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?No38082¢83.5¢$317+$5.80$0
Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?No23184¢97.4¢$225+$31+$5.88
Will Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?Yes7,2398.4¢2.3¢$163−$442−$7.67
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?No30061¢49¢$147−$36$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes45344.1¢31.5¢$143−$57$0
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?No18879¢69.5¢$131−$18+$8.41
Will Nelly Dever win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?No18181.3¢68¢$123−$24$0
Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?No13488.9¢83.5¢$112−$7.18+$3.58
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?No10091.3¢95.3¢$95+$4.01+$28
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No15939.7¢43.5¢$69+$6.07$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes62516¢9.5¢$59−$41$0
Will Alexis Tsipras be the next Prime Minister of Greece?No1695¢92.1¢$15−$0.46$0
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?No177.7¢86.5¢$0.99+$0.10+$4.17
Will Humberto Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?No37276.2¢0¢$0−$283−$2.08
Will Nicoletti win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?No32174.6¢0¢$0−$240−$2.42
Will Marília Campos win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?No20579.4¢0¢$0−$163−$1.06
Will Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai win the Falealili 1 by-election?No6173.9¢0¢$0−$45−$0.47
Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?No3785¢0¢$0−$31−$0.19
Will Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?No3782¢0¢$0−$30−$0.22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No3216¢0¢$0−$5.12−$416
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes244.3¢0¢$0−$1.03$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No575.1¢0¢$0−$4.00+$82

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?72¢95$6883%53
BUY NoWill Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?71¢10$7.1083%53
SELL NoWill Karen Harper win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?84¢58$4983%53
SELL NoWill Karen Harper win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?85¢34$2983%53
BUY NoWill Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?66¢21$1483%53
BUY NoWill Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?65¢150$9883%53
BUY NoWill Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?64¢10$6.4083%53
SELL NoWill Karen Harper win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?85¢142$12183%53
BUY NoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?42¢67$2883%53
SELL NoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?35¢100$3583%53
BUY NoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?38¢92$3583%53
BUY NoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?29¢100$2983%53
BUY NoWill Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?82¢370$30383%53
BUY NoWill Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?81¢10$8.1083%53
BUY NoWill Karen Harper win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?72¢234$16883%53
BUY NoWill Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?78.9¢307$24283%53
BUY NoWill Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?79¢35$2883%53
BUY NoWill Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?77¢15$1283%53
BUY NoWill Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?76¢50$3883%53
BUY NoWill Nelly Dever win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?81.3¢170$13883%53