PnL all-time−$30.8kvol $618k
PnL 30d−$215gains $164 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$240win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate74.6%adj 71.1% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$1,271cash n/a
Positions56 / 179open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.8ylast trade 3mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$30.7kbelow peak −$32.0kOct 13
SharpScore inputs
27/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 74.6% · shrunk toward 50%78
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable75
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Ethereum flipped in 2026? · Yesclosed+$3,830Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10? · Noclosed+$1,783Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30? · Yesclosed+$1,166Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31? · Yesclosed+$866US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$821
Worst markets
Will Ethereum hit $5,000.00 by March 31? · Yesclosed−$11.8kWill Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026? · Noopen−$4,399Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m? · Noclosed−$4,119Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$3,765Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m? · Yesclosed−$2,151
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 18.4k | 2.1¢ | 3.5¢ | $636 | +$249 | $0 | |
| Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | No | 533 | 88¢ | 94.5¢ | $503 | +$35 | +$23 | |
| Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 13.1k | 2.2¢ | 0.8¢ | $98 | −$191 | $0 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 456 | 39.2¢ | 5.5¢ | $25 | −$154 | $0 | |
| Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | No | 7 | 53¢ | 78¢ | $5.56 | +$1.78 | $0 | |
| Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 34 | 9.1¢ | 7.4¢ | $2.49 | −$0.57 | $0 |
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