PnL all-time−$226kvol $4.84M
PnL 30d−$7,744gains $4,518 · losses $12.4k
PnL 7d−$698win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate43.0%adj 43.4% · 30d 40.9%
Open value$18.5kcash n/a
Positions13 / 396open / all-time
Max drawdown−56.5%of equity peak
Account age2.9ylast trade 14h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$218kbelow peak −$120kOct 10
SharpScore inputs
30/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 43.0% · shrunk toward 50%8
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable87
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity44
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? · Yesclosed−$47.8kTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? · Yesclosed−$31.7kRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Yesclosed−$29.1kWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? · Noclosed−$26.5kRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before October? · Yesclosed−$23.2k
Open positions · 13
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10.2k | 59.6¢ | 64.5¢ | $6,585 | +$497 | +$619 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 29.2k | 29.6¢ | 8.5¢ | $2,484 | −$6,170 | $0 | |
| Will Rangers FC win on 2026-10-10? | Yes | 1,180 | 85¢ | 99.5¢ | $1,174 | +$171 | $0 | |
| Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-10-10? | Yes | 1,088 | 92¢ | 95.6¢ | $1,040 | +$39 | $0 | |
| Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-10? | No | 1,140 | 88¢ | 87.5¢ | $998 | −$5.70 | $0 | |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10? | Yes | 1,100 | 91¢ | 89.5¢ | $985 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-10-10? | Yes | 1,430 | 70¢ | 67.5¢ | $965 | −$36 | $0 | |
| Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-10-10? | No | 1,140 | 88¢ | 84.5¢ | $963 | −$40 | $0 | |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-10? | Yes | 1,100 | 91¢ | 87.5¢ | $963 | −$39 | $0 | |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-10? | Yes | 1,150 | 87¢ | 83.5¢ | $960 | −$40 | $0 | |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 7,383 | 4.9¢ | 9.8¢ | $720 | +$362 | −$48 | |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-10? | Yes | 1,210 | 83¢ | 32.5¢ | $393 | −$611 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | Yes | 8,422 | 16.7¢ | 3.1¢ | $257 | −$1,147 | $0 |
Recent trades
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