PnL all-time−$9,182vol $5.02M
PnL 30d+$314gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$15win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate50.5%adj 50.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$1,162cash n/a
Positions13 / 415open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 6d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$6,586below peak −$9,755Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
31/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 50.5% · shrunk toward 50%26
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable87
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d80
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | No | 500 | 75¢ | 99.7¢ | $498 | +$123 | −$80 | |
| Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.75% and 4.49%? | No | 200 | 83.9¢ | 99.1¢ | $198 | +$30 | $0 | |
| Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? | No | 200 | 78¢ | 94¢ | $188 | +$32 | $0 | |
| Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? | Yes | 2,000 | 9.5¢ | 7.7¢ | $153 | −$37 | $0 | |
| Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $12.5B by December 31? | No | 50 | 84¢ | 98.3¢ | $49 | +$7.15 | −$22 | |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 271 | 8.7¢ | 13.2¢ | $36 | +$12 | +$0.29 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 557 | 13¢ | 3.4¢ | $19 | −$53 | −$11 | |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | No | 11 | 93.5¢ | 93.4¢ | $9.87 | −$0.01 | $0 | |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 10 | 92.6¢ | 93.3¢ | $9.00 | +$0.06 | $0 | |
| Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.75% and 4.49%? | Yes | 200 | 12.7¢ | 0.9¢ | $1.80 | −$24 | $0 |
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