sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,752

PancraceRoyer

0x29d…b2ed
PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 60+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$85.4kvol $1.90M
PnL 30d+$697gains $827 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$863win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate61.2%adj 60.8% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$31.7kcash n/a
Positions53 / 639open / all-time
Max drawdown−22.1%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 2mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$88.6kbelow peak −$13.9kOct 13

SharpScore inputs

59/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale70
Adjusted win rateraw 61.2% · shrunk toward 50%52
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable94
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity78

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 53

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No5,00084¢95.5¢$4,773+$573$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes4,50028.7¢87.3¢$3,926+$2,636$0
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes4,50063.3¢46.5¢$2,092−$757$0
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-03 House seat?Yes2,00091¢95.9¢$1,917+$97$0
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?No1,80094.3¢99.1¢$1,783+$86$0
US strike on Cuba by December 31?No2,00053¢89¢$1,780+$720$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No2,00063¢75.5¢$1,510+$250$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-05 House seat?Yes1,50091.1¢93.8¢$1,406+$39$0
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes3,00054¢37.5¢$1,125−$495$0
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?No1,00084¢88.5¢$885+$45$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes6,0006¢14.5¢$867+$507$0
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes2,0007¢41.9¢$837+$697$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-12 House seat?Yes75080¢89¢$668+$68$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes4,00020.9¢14.8¢$590−$248$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes3,30030¢17.5¢$578−$413$0
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No81549.6¢69.5¢$566+$162$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes60055¢82¢$492+$162$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-15 House seat?Yes50095¢97.6¢$488+$13$0
Will the Republican Party win the WV-02 House seat?Yes50092¢96.7¢$483+$23$0
Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes4,00029.2¢10.5¢$420−$747$0
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes1,00042¢41.5¢$415−$5.00$0
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Yes1,00032.5¢40.5¢$405+$80$0
Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No44582.2¢89¢$396+$30$0
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No50060¢77.5¢$388+$88$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes6,0008.5¢6.4¢$381−$127$0
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No50060¢74¢$370+$70$0
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Yes40075¢91.5¢$366+$66$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes1,00057¢35.5¢$355−$215$0
Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?Yes40075¢72¢$288−$12$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?No50077¢44.5¢$223−$163$0
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?No26467¢79¢$209+$32$0
Will Ségolène Royal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No20089¢97.2¢$194+$16$0
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes50047¢31.5¢$157−$77$0
Will Delphine Batho be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No14576¢91.3¢$132+$22$0
Will the Republican Party win the VA-02 House seat?No12391¢87.5¢$108−$4.30$0
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?Yes10059¢96.8¢$97+$38$0
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes5,00020.6¢0.5¢$27−$1,002$0
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?Dune 38666.1¢2.9¢$25−$28$0
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes6,5380.6¢0.2¢$9.81−$29$0
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes4,0008.1¢0.1¢$2.00−$322$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes3,50021¢0¢$0−$735$0
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?Yes2,83522.4¢0¢$0−$634−$20
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No2,7176.2¢0¢$0−$168−$6.29
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes2,00033¢0¢$0−$660$0
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?No2,00020.8¢0¢$0−$415$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes1,73441.3¢0¢$0−$717$0
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?No1,20030.5¢0¢$0−$366$0
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes1,00015.9¢0¢$0−$159$0
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup SurvivalLGD Gaming80036¢0¢$0−$288−$6.91
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit70070.3¢0¢$0−$492$0
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No28247¢0¢$0−$133−$2.81
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid10034.8¢0¢$0−$35−$1.13
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?No9279¢0¢$0−$73−$0.76

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY LGD GamingDota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival36¢600$21661%59
BUY Team LiquidDota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner34.8¢100$3561%59
BUY LGD GamingDota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival74¢600$44461%59
SELL Xtreme GamingDota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner8¢200$1661%59
BUY Team LiquidDota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner89¢398$35461%59
BUY Virtus.proDota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner66¢28$1861%59
BUY FranceFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance59.8¢2,500$1,49461%59
BUY Team LiquidDota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner69.8¢950$66361%59
BUY Xtreme GamingDota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner67.1¢250$16861%59
BUY Team YandexDota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner92¢399$36761%59
BUY Team YandexDota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner67¢65$4461%59
BUY YesLGD Gaming to win 2-0?75¢47$3561%59
BUY Vici GamingDota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner89¢118$10561%59
BUY PARIVISIONDota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner52¢100$5261%59
BUY PARIVISIONDota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner78¢300$23461%59
BUY Vici GamingDota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner92¢96$8961%59
BUY OverNorway vs. England: O/U 2.558¢150$8761%59
SELL NoWill A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?93¢570$53061%59
SELL Nigma GalaxyDota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner96¢310$29761%59
BUY Team LiquidDota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner72.2¢617$44561%59