PnL all-time+$232kvol $6.72M
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate74.2%adj 64.7% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$99.6kcash n/a
Positions2 / 33open / all-time
Max drawdown−64.4%of equity peak
Account age1.6ylast trade 6mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$232kbelow peak −$35.7kOct 9
SharpScore inputs
36/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale77
Adjusted win rateraw 74.2% · shrunk toward 50%62
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable51
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity36
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Noclosed+$183kNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$37.6kFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? · Noclosed+$27.3kWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? · Noclosed+$25.5kWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$23.0k
Worst markets
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · Noclosed−$60.8kWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Noclosed−$26.3kUS strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? · Noclosed−$2,603Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? · Yesopen−$2,355Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? · Noclosed−$2,026
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | No | 99.6k | 94.1¢ | 100¢ | $99.6k | +$5,832 | $0 | |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 6,541 | 36¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,355 | $0 |
Recent trades
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