sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,455

0x2a5…6c92

0x2a5…6c92
WhaleWR 60+SportPoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$12.6kvol $1.23M
PnL 30d−$18.5kgains $8,277 · losses $4,167
PnL 7d−$6,682win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate67.1%adj 63.8% · 30d 57.7%
Open value$290kcash n/a
Positions66 / 151open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age4molast trade 6d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$12.9kbelow peak −$16.8kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

31/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 67.1% · shrunk toward 50%59
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable73
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d78
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Noopen+$54.7kWill France finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Noclosed+$15.4kWill England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed+$4,393Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event? · Yesclosed+$4,230Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · Yesopen+$3,582

Worst markets

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yesopen−$54.3kWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Noclosed−$25.6kWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed−$9,995Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesopen−$8,892Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Noclosed−$5,236

Open positions · 66

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No209k54¢80.2¢$168k+$54.8k−$42
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes181k49.8¢19.9¢$35.9k−$54.3k+$42
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No14.4k95.8¢100¢$14.4k+$607$0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No8,10099.3¢100¢$8,100+$59$0
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes8,10055.8¢100¢$8,100+$3,582$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No8,10056.8¢100¢$8,100+$3,501$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes7,64655.2¢100¢$7,646+$3,427$0
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes8,05674.5¢77.5¢$6,243+$244$0
Will Cloud9 Win LCS 2026 Summer SplitNo5,58082.7¢100¢$5,580+$965$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No5,58085.3¢92.7¢$5,170+$409$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No4,95083.6¢84.5¢$4,183+$43$0
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?No5,18067¢73.5¢$3,807+$337$0
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?Yes3,60086¢83.5¢$3,006−$90$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes7,77945.5¢15.5¢$1,206−$2,337+$280
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?No1,49979.3¢78.5¢$1,177−$12$0
Will LYON Win LCS 2026 Summer SplitNo1,08057¢100¢$1,080+$464$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes14.6k12.2¢7.4¢$1,073−$701$0
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Yes4,71816.2¢22.5¢$1,062+$297$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes1,10042.4¢83.5¢$918+$452+$835
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?No4,85012.7¢16.5¢$800+$183$0
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?No2,88027.4¢26.5¢$763−$25$0
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?No3,08418.9¢22.5¢$694+$111$0
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?Yes1,80329¢26.5¢$478−$44$0
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?No54083¢84.5¢$456+$8.10$0
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?No54080¢81.5¢$440+$8.10$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes2,70015.3¢15.5¢$419+$4.50$0
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes36595¢95.6¢$349+$2.01$0
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No5,4003.8¢4.5¢$240+$35$0
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Yes1,80022.6¢12.5¢$225−$182$0
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Yes1,08019¢18.5¢$200−$5.40$0
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Yes1,26015.4¢15.5¢$195+$0.90$0
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Yes3,3306.9¢4.5¢$150−$81$0
Will Borussia Dortmund be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?Yes1,5976¢6.5¢$104+$7.99$0
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Yes1,4607.8¢5.5¢$80−$34$0
Will Borussia Dortmund be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?No6092¢93.5¢$56+$0.91$0
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Yes1,85110¢2.5¢$46−$139$0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes9,1800.7¢0.5¢$41−$23$0
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?No13538¢30.5¢$41−$10$0
Cuban regime falls in 2026?No473.3¢89.5¢$3.58+$0.65−$0.47
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?No2043.7¢16.5¢$3.29−$5.41+$388
Cincinnati Open: Lilli Tagger vs Talia GibsonTalia Gibson333¢100¢$2.98+$2.00$0
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?Yes366¢73.5¢$2.21+$0.23$0
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No299.6¢99.8¢$2.00$0$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No149.2¢84.5¢$1.01+$0.42+$175
Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes426.7¢10.5¢$0.42−$0.65+$0.47
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes27.0k32.8¢0¢$0−$8,867−$25
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes18.0k21.5¢0¢$0−$3,870−$83
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes10.8k2.9¢0¢$0−$315$0
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9,0003.9¢0¢$0−$353−$7.58
England to score first vs. Argentina?No6,30052.3¢0¢$0−$3,294$0
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5,8502.8¢0¢$0−$166$0
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5,5006.6¢0¢$0−$364−$10
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes4,5002.1¢0¢$0−$96$0
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2,7002.4¢0¢$0−$65$0
France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under2,70033¢0¢$0−$891$0
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,8001.6¢0¢$0−$29−$0.85
France vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo1,21849.7¢0¢$0−$606$0
Will the final be FRA vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,20126.8¢0¢$0−$322$0
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreNo1,08046¢0¢$0−$497$0
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5Under1,08069¢0¢$0−$745$0
Will LYON Win LCS 2026 Summer SplitYes44741¢0¢$0−$183$0
Will Team Liquid Win LCS 2026 Summer SplitNo14381¢0¢$0−$116$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No13147.4¢0¢$0−$62−$1.63
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes5035¢0¢$0−$18−$0.57
Mookie Betts: Home Runs O/U 0.5Over505¢0¢$0−$2.50−$0.12
Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No1275¢0¢$0−$9.34$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?77¢1,800$1,38667%31
BUY UpXRP Up or Down - August 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET55¢21$1267%31
BUY OverMookie Betts: Home Runs O/U 0.55¢50$2.5067%31
BUY Katerina SiniakovaCincinnati Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Katerina Siniakova51¢30$1567%31
BUY Katerina SiniakovaCincinnati Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Katerina Siniakova51¢30$1567%31
BUY NoWill Greg Mueller Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?99.5¢195$19467%31
BUY YesWill Europe Win the WSOP Main Event18¢95$1767%31
BUY NoWill North America Win the WSOP Main Event16¢459$7367%31
BUY YesWill Europe Win the WSOP Main Event12¢51$6.1267%31
BUY YesWill Lauri Saaskilahti Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?12.1¢50$6.0567%31
BUY NoWill Han Feng Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?99.9¢56$5667%31
BUY NoWill Rami Hammoud Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?99.8¢69$6967%31
BUY YesWill Greg Mueller Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?7.2¢12$0.8767%31
BUY YesWill Europe Win the WSOP Main Event15¢25$3.7567%31
BUY NoWill North America Win the WSOP Main Event14¢222$3167%31
BUY YesWill Europe Win the WSOP Main Event13¢155$2067%31
BUY YesWill North America Win the WSOP Main Event83¢41$3467%31
BUY NoWill North America Win the WSOP Main Event15¢123$1867%31
BUY NoWill Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?67¢4,480$3,00167%31
BUY NoWill Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?67¢100$6767%31