PnL all-time+$224kvol $7.14M
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate73.5%adj 68.9% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$0cash n/a
Positions3 / 86open / all-time
Max drawdown−52.4%of equity peak
Account age1.7ylast trade 6mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$224kbelow peak −$47.0kOct 8
SharpScore inputs
50/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale76
Adjusted win rateraw 73.5% · shrunk toward 50%72
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable64
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity48
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed+$78.0kUS recession in 2025? · Noclosed+$62.0kFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed+$35.6kNegative GDP growth in Q2 2025? · Noclosed+$33.0kNo change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed+$32.8k
Worst markets
Israel military action against Iran by Friday? · Noclosed−$99.9kWill Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025? · Noopen−$66.7kWill Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? · Yesclosed−$25.8kIsrael strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July? · Noclosed−$24.5kWill Mikie Sherrill win by 12-15%? · Noclosed−$12.1k
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025? | No | 134k | 48.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$64.9k | −$1,806 | |
| Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025? | Yes | 9,291 | 15.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,449 | $0 | |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025? | Yes | 3,207 | 14.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$471 | $0 |
Recent trades
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