PnL all-time+$100vol $9,540
PnL 30d+$206gains $313 · losses $8.31
PnL 7d+$199win rate 7d 90.0%
Win rate99.4%adj 97.5% · 30d 95.3%
Open value$72cash n/a
Positions275 / 3,704open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age5molast trade 4h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
Not enough history to draw an equity curve.
SharpScore inputs
80/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale29
Adjusted win rateraw 99.4% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Trump say "Star" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? · Yesclosed+$175Will Trump say "Gulf of America" during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee? · Yesclosed+$9.66Will Trump say "Hormuz" during his Midterm Rally in Arizona? · Yesclosed+$9.58Will the announcers say "No Good" during the Seahawks vs Broncos game? · Yesclosed+$8.98Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Alabama? · Noclosed+$8.10
Worst markets
Trump renames AI by September 30? · Noopen−$13Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 14? · Yesopen−$12Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 8? · Yesopen−$11Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 7? · Yesopen−$8.72Will Trump say "ICE" during his remarks at the Hispanic Heritage Month Celebration? · Yesopen−$7.60
Open positions · 9
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | 78.8¢ | 85.5¢ | $18 | +$1.38 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 19 | 79.3¢ | 84.5¢ | $16 | +$0.99 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 50 | 28¢ | 27¢ | $14 | −$0.50 | $0 | |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? | No | 10 | 92.3¢ | 91.5¢ | $9.23 | −$0.08 | $0 | |
| Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Google by December 31? | No | 5 | 98¢ | 98.4¢ | $5.02 | +$0.02 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5 | 72¢ | 70.5¢ | $3.70 | −$0.08 | $0 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026? | No | 3 | 97.6¢ | 96.1¢ | $2.81 | −$0.05 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | No | 5 | 28¢ | 39.5¢ | $2.09 | +$0.61 | $0 | |
| Will the announcers say "Offside" or "Offsides" during the Seahawks vs Broncos game? | No | 10 | 35¢ | 19¢ | $1.90 | −$1.60 | $0 |
Recent trades
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