sharpside
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Traders/Rank #7,071

LUCKY66666

0x2b4…d839
WR 70+WR 60+WeatherPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$258vol $154k
PnL 30d+$77gains $432 · losses $93
PnL 7d+$70win rate 7d 88.9%
Win rate75.8%adj 74.5% · 30d 88.9%
Open value$236cash n/a
Positions404 / 764open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 1h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$432below peak −$64Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

54/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale34
Adjusted win rateraw 75.8% · shrunk toward 50%86
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable96
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 12?No11868.9¢100¢$118+$37−$1.26
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 12?No8194¢100¢$81+$4.85$0
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 13?Yes17521¢21.5¢$38+$0.88$0
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 3?Yes2,1760.8¢0¢$0−$17−$0.83
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 8?Yes1,4722.6¢0¢$0−$38−$1.85
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or below on June 8?Yes1,2190.8¢0¢$0−$10−$0.51
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C or below on May 27?Yes1,2083.2¢0¢$0−$38−$1.81
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on June 4?Yes1,2087.1¢0¢$0−$86−$3.83
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C or below on June 1?Yes1,1551¢0¢$0−$12−$0.56
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 40°C or higher on June 4?Yes1,0500.5¢0¢$0−$4.83−$0.24
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 5?Yes1,04216.7¢0¢$0−$174−$6.33
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or below on June 7?Yes1,0230.8¢0¢$0−$7.69−$0.38
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?Yes1,0000.3¢0¢$0−$3.00$0
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?Yes8523.4¢0¢$0−$29$0
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?Yes7986.2¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 2?Yes7432.6¢0¢$0−$19−$0.94
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?Yes6867.2¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 7?Yes6724.4¢0¢$0−$30−$1.42
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?Yes67210.7¢0¢$0−$72$0
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C or higher on May 31?Yes6491.3¢0¢$0−$8.61−$0.42
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on May 26?Yes6257.4¢0¢$0−$46−$2.12
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on June 7?Yes6191.9¢0¢$0−$12−$0.56
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on February 28?No60795.9¢0¢$0−$582$0
Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?Yes6001.7¢0¢$0−$10$0
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on June 4?Yes5891.5¢0¢$0−$8.80−$0.43
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?Yes5611.9¢0¢$0−$11$0
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 4?Yes5600.8¢0¢$0−$4.27−$0.21
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 7?Yes5544.2¢0¢$0−$23−$1.08
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?Yes5501.6¢0¢$0−$8.98$0
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on June 3?Yes5487.7¢0¢$0−$42−$1.93
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?Yes5253.3¢0¢$0−$17$0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 28?Yes5191¢0¢$0−$5.04−$0.25
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 40°C on May 26?Yes5131.2¢0¢$0−$6.10−$0.30
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?Yes5001.1¢0¢$0−$5.33$0
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?Yes5006.6¢0¢$0−$33$0
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes5000.2¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 5?Yes4910.8¢0¢$0−$3.81−$0.19
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 4?Yes4763.3¢0¢$0−$16−$0.75
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?Yes4654.8¢0¢$0−$22$0
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 6?Yes4601.8¢0¢$0−$8.32−$0.41
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 2?Yes46015.9¢0¢$0−$73−$3.07
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 28?Yes4590.7¢0¢$0−$3.20−$0.16
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 6?Yes45110.9¢0¢$0−$49+$43
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on June 6?Yes4510.9¢0¢$0−$3.92−$0.19
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Yes43911.5¢0¢$0−$51$0
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Yes43612.8¢0¢$0−$56$0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 28?Yes43422.8¢0¢$0−$99−$3.23
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on May 28?Yes4318.3¢0¢$0−$36−$1.65
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 40°C on May 27?Yes4234.7¢0¢$0−$20−$0.94
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 6?Yes4224.9¢0¢$0−$21−$0.97
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 59°F or below on March 11?Yes4190.1¢0¢$0−$0.42$0
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on May 24?Yes41813.5¢0¢$0−$56−$2.42
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Yes4002¢0¢$0−$7.99$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 6?Yes3975¢0¢$0−$20+$0.76
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 26?Yes39211.2¢0¢$0−$44−$1.94
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?Yes3903.4¢0¢$0−$13$0
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?Yes3804.1¢0¢$0−$15$0
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Yes3685.5¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 7?Yes3593.1¢0¢$0−$11−$0.54
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 2?Yes3580.7¢0¢$0−$2.53−$0.13
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Yes3587¢0¢$0−$25$0
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 4?Yes35720.7¢0¢$0−$74−$2.93
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 41°C on May 27?Yes3461¢0¢$0−$3.34−$0.17
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?Yes3445.1¢0¢$0−$17$0
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?Yes3360.3¢0¢$0−$1.01$0
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes3350.3¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on June 8?Yes3326.7¢0¢$0−$22−$0.98
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on June 1?Yes3310.6¢0¢$0−$1.98−$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 41°C or higher on May 26?Yes3300.5¢0¢$0−$1.73−$0.09
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?Yes3256.6¢0¢$0−$21$0
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?Yes3192.8¢0¢$0−$8.93$0
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?Yes3101.5¢0¢$0−$4.71$0
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?Yes30913.6¢0¢$0−$42−$23
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on May 29?Yes3091.7¢0¢$0−$5.30−$0.25
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on May 29?Yes30913¢0¢$0−$40−$1.74
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?Yes3032¢0¢$0−$6.06$0
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Yes3003.5¢0¢$0−$11$0
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Yes3000.4¢0¢$0−$1.20$0
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Yes3001.2¢0¢$0−$3.70$0
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?Yes3000.8¢0¢$0−$2.36$0
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Yes3000.7¢0¢$0−$2.01$0
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?Yes3001¢0¢$0−$3.00$0
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?Yes3001.1¢0¢$0−$3.30$0
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?Yes3001.2¢0¢$0−$3.60$0
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Yes3001¢0¢$0−$2.85$0
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Yes3004.7¢0¢$0−$14$0
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?Yes3008¢0¢$0−$24$0
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes3000.4¢0¢$0−$1.20$0
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Yes3002.6¢0¢$0−$7.87$0
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Yes3000.4¢0¢$0−$1.20$0
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Yes3000.5¢0¢$0−$1.64$0
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?Yes3007.3¢0¢$0−$22$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on May 31?Yes30012.4¢0¢$0−$37−$1.49
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on May 29?Yes2981¢0¢$0−$2.98$0
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on March 11?Yes2836.7¢0¢$0−$19$0
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on May 27?Yes27423.4¢0¢$0−$64−$2.34
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes2736.4¢0¢$0−$17$0
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes2705.3¢0¢$0−$14$0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 7?Yes26218.3¢0¢$0−$48−$1.95
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?Yes2603.1¢0¢$0−$8.11$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 13?95¢175$16676%54
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on October 13?23.5¢76$1876%54
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 13?21¢175$3776%54
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 12?94¢81$7676%54
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 12?68.9¢118$8176%54
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 12?99.9¢135$13576%54
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 12?99.9¢135$13576%54
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 12?31.5¢46$1476%54
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 12?29.8¢79$2476%54
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 12?69¢135$9376%54
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on October 12?34¢105$3676%54
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on October 12?33¢105$3576%54
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 12?88.7¢135$12076%54
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 11?52.1¢217$11376%54
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 11?87.8¢217$19076%54
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 11?79¢113$8976%54
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 10?61¢34$2076%54
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 10?58.4¢41$2476%54
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 10?66.8¢15$9.7776%54
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 10?74¢20$1576%54