| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027? | Yes | 650 | 34.2¢ | 45.5¢ | $296 | +$73 | $0 | |
| Will there be fewer than 20 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? | No | 313 | 91.7¢ | 86.9¢ | $271 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will NiP win the second most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election? | No | 271 | 94.2¢ | 99.1¢ | $269 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 5? | No | 278 | 86.7¢ | 92.7¢ | $257 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Will Tibor Batthyány be the next Mayor of Liberec? | No | 260 | 98.8¢ | 97.2¢ | $253 | −$4.29 | $0 | |
| Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election? | Yes | 258 | 97.6¢ | 96.9¢ | $250 | −$1.75 | $0 | |
| Will Anders Öberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten? | Yes | 248 | 74.2¢ | 95.5¢ | $237 | +$53 | $0 | |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 240 | 86¢ | 97.2¢ | $233 | +$27 | $0 | |
| Will NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | No | 228 | 99.6¢ | 99.7¢ | $227 | +$0.23 | $0 | |
| Will United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by 10% or more? | No | 288 | 69.9¢ | 75¢ | $216 | +$15 | −$0.90 | |
| Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 215 | 93.3¢ | 97¢ | $209 | +$8.04 | $0 | |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 230 | 90¢ | 90.5¢ | $208 | +$1.15 | $0 | |
| Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by December 31, 2026? | No | 215 | 81.5¢ | 96.4¢ | $207 | +$32 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois Senate election? | No | 211 | 91.1¢ | 97.6¢ | $206 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul? | Yes | 204 | 96¢ | 98.5¢ | $201 | +$5.09 | $0 | |
| Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | No | 203 | 96¢ | 98¢ | $198 | +$3.95 | $0 | |
| Will DF win the second most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election? | No | 200 | 99.4¢ | 99.1¢ | $198 | −$0.80 | $0 | |
| Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below? | Yes | 247 | 72.1¢ | 78.5¢ | $194 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | Yes | 197 | 57.5¢ | 94¢ | $185 | +$72 | $0 | |
| Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Morelos Congress election? | Yes | 344 | 39.8¢ | 53.5¢ | $184 | +$47 | $0 | |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 300 | 51¢ | 60.5¢ | $181 | +$28 | $0 | |
| Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 98? | No | 242 | 64.1¢ | 73.5¢ | $178 | +$23 | $0 | |
| Will Republicans win Latino men in the midterms? | No | 215 | 71¢ | 80.5¢ | $173 | +$20 | $0 | |
| Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | Yes | 220 | 71.4¢ | 78¢ | $172 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 175 | 86¢ | 97.2¢ | $170 | +$20 | $0 | |
| Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? | No | 165 | 98.2¢ | 98.1¢ | $162 | −$0.25 | $0 | |
| Will Jay Z release an album in 2026? | No | 212 | 68.2¢ | 76.5¢ | $162 | +$18 | +$5.40 | |
| Will Elin Norén be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Dalarna? | Yes | 166 | 55.1¢ | 95.9¢ | $159 | +$68 | +$2.36 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028? | No | 200 | 77¢ | 77¢ | $154 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico Senate election by 3% or more? | No | 160 | 89.3¢ | 96.4¢ | $154 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 190 | 79¢ | 80.5¢ | $153 | +$2.85 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon Senate election? | No | 158 | 89.3¢ | 96.7¢ | $153 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Jersey Senate election by 3% or more? | No | 158 | 89.3¢ | 96.5¢ | $153 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Bahia? | Yes | 157 | 96.4¢ | 97¢ | $152 | +$1.00 | $0 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 190 | 79.9¢ | 80¢ | $152 | +$0.10 | $0 | |
| Israel military action against Syria by November 30, 2026? | No | 255 | 58¢ | 59.5¢ | $152 | +$3.77 | $0 | |
| Will Gemini Argon be released on October 27, 2026? | No | 181 | 76.9¢ | 83.8¢ | $152 | +$13 | $0 | |
| North Korea x South Korea diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 220 | 66.1¢ | 68.5¢ | $151 | +$5.30 | +$3.53 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming Senate election? | No | 150 | 93.3¢ | 99.9¢ | $150 | +$9.78 | $0 | |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Santa Catarina? | Yes | 150 | 97¢ | 99.1¢ | $149 | +$3.08 | $0 | |
| Will Florida be the closest Governor's race in 2026? | No | 180 | 82.8¢ | 82.4¢ | $148 | −$0.77 | $0 | |
| Will SDS win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election? | No | 149 | 99.4¢ | 98.7¢ | $147 | −$1.05 | +$0.11 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Delaware Senate election? | No | 151 | 93.3¢ | 97.1¢ | $147 | +$5.68 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Virginia Senate election by 3% or more? | No | 145 | 90.3¢ | 99.6¢ | $145 | +$14 | +$5.87 | |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026? | No | 155 | 78.9¢ | 92.5¢ | $143 | +$21 | $0 | |
| Will PT win the most seats in the 2027 Michoacán Congress election? | No | 185 | 79.2¢ | 77¢ | $142 | −$4.15 | $0 | |
| Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 67% to 68%? | Yes | 335 | 32.2¢ | 41.5¢ | $139 | +$31 | +$7.92 | |
| Will Monika Lešková win the 2026 Prešov Region gubernatorial election? | No | 140 | 78¢ | 98.7¢ | $138 | +$29 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado Senate election? | No | 142 | 91¢ | 96.7¢ | $138 | +$8.11 | $0 | |
| Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 160 | 77¢ | 84.5¢ | $135 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will Elin Hoffner be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jämtland Härjedalen? | No | 134 | 91.5¢ | 99.9¢ | $134 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Virginia Senate election by 0%-3%? | No | 136 | 92.5¢ | 97.5¢ | $132 | +$6.66 | +$3.43 | |
| Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026? | No | 135 | 93.6¢ | 97.6¢ | $132 | +$5.33 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon Senate election by 0%-5%? | No | 138 | 91¢ | 93.3¢ | $129 | +$3.18 | $0 | |
| Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 135 | 79.1¢ | 95.2¢ | $129 | +$22 | $0 | |
| Will Republicans win white voters in the Texas Senate election? | Yes | 136 | 83¢ | 93.5¢ | $127 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Modi out by June 30, 2027? | No | 150 | 80¢ | 83.5¢ | $125 | +$5.25 | $0 | |
| Will Manchester City be deducted 0 Premier League points? | No | 180 | 87¢ | 69.5¢ | $125 | −$32 | $0 | |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 300 | 39¢ | 40.5¢ | $121 | +$4.50 | $0 | |
| Will Marian Banaś win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election? | No | 118 | 0¢ | 100¢ | $118 | +$118 | $0 | |
| Will Israel recognize Palestine before 2027? | No | 122 | 94.6¢ | 96¢ | $117 | +$1.67 | $0 | |
| Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | No | 250 | 41.7¢ | 46.6¢ | $116 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | Yes | 142 | 73.8¢ | 81.5¢ | $116 | +$11 | $0 | |
| US Treasury announces Bitcoin purchase by December 31, 2027? | No | 151 | 71¢ | 75.5¢ | $114 | +$6.74 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-07 House election by 60%-65%? | No | 155 | 64.5¢ | 71.7¢ | $111 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? | No | 121 | 88.9¢ | 92¢ | $111 | +$3.73 | $0 | |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election? | Yes | 1,574 | 8.5¢ | 7¢ | $110 | −$23 | +$5.85 | |
| Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 115 | 29.4¢ | 94¢ | $108 | +$74 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election by 40%-45%? | No | 131 | 77.3¢ | 81¢ | $106 | +$4.88 | $0 | |
| Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by June 30, 2027? | No | 128 | 68.3¢ | 82¢ | $105 | +$18 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 120 | 46.3¢ | 86.3¢ | $104 | +$48 | $0 | |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | No | 105 | 68.8¢ | 97.4¢ | $102 | +$30 | $0 | |
| Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027? | No | 107 | 95.4¢ | 95.6¢ | $102 | +$0.20 | $0 | |
| Will Austria recognize Palestine before 2027? | No | 106 | 82.6¢ | 95.9¢ | $101 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will Lars Markus Hildingsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Blekinge? | Yes | 113 | 43.1¢ | 87.9¢ | $100 | +$51 | +$29 | |
| Will Ľubomír Geci win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election? | No | 100 | 90.2¢ | 99.5¢ | $100 | +$9.32 | +$0.93 | |
| Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland? | Yes | 110 | 54¢ | 90.4¢ | $99 | +$40 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election? | No | 100 | 92¢ | 99.2¢ | $99 | +$7.15 | $0 | |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 174 | 55.3¢ | 56.5¢ | $98 | +$2.07 | $0 | |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 101 | 88.1¢ | 97¢ | $98 | +$8.92 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 West Virginia Senate election? | No | 100 | 85.5¢ | 97.6¢ | $98 | +$12 | +$0.69 | |
| Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026? | No | 130 | 75.1¢ | 75¢ | $98 | −$0.10 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois Senate election by 0%-5%? | No | 100 | 0¢ | 97.1¢ | $97 | +$97 | $0 | |
| Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? | No | 100 | 77¢ | 95.5¢ | $95 | +$18 | $0 | |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 24? | No | 111 | 58.9¢ | 86¢ | $95 | +$30 | +$4.84 | |
| Will Rachel De Basso be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County? | Yes | 131 | 51.3¢ | 72.5¢ | $95 | +$28 | $0 | |
| Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? | Yes | 128 | 54.8¢ | 71¢ | $91 | +$21 | $0 | |
| Will Bengt Bergqvist be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jämtland Härjedalen? | Yes | 118 | 69.3¢ | 76.2¢ | $90 | +$8.17 | $0 | |
| Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027? | No | 100 | 73¢ | 89.5¢ | $90 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026? | No | 120 | 67¢ | 74.5¢ | $89 | +$9.00 | $0 | |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 100 | 81¢ | 89¢ | $89 | +$8.00 | $0 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 91 | 83.3¢ | 97.2¢ | $88 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election? | No | 89 | 91.3¢ | 98.1¢ | $88 | +$6.00 | +$5.02 | |
| Will Grażyna Zofia Świat win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election? | No | 88 | 95.1¢ | 100¢ | $87 | +$4.28 | $0 | |
| Will Glenn Berggård be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten? | No | 87 | 95.9¢ | 99.5¢ | $87 | +$3.09 | +$0.75 | |
| Will Afroditi Latinopoulou be the next Prime Minister of Greece? | No | 87 | 89.5¢ | 97.9¢ | $85 | +$7.29 | $0 | |
| Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | No | 86 | 79.3¢ | 99.1¢ | $85 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Will Vermont be the closest Governor's race in 2026? | No | 96 | 95.8¢ | 88.4¢ | $85 | −$7.06 | $0 | |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Paraíba? | Yes | 86 | 96¢ | 98.5¢ | $85 | +$2.15 | $0 | |
| Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | No | 86 | 87¢ | 98.1¢ | $84 | +$9.50 | $0 | |