PnL all-time+$1,192vol $161k
PnL 30d−$5,348gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$534win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate100.0%adj 52.4% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$52.8kcash n/a
Positions7 / 8open / all-time
Max drawdown−48.5%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 28d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$11.5kbelow peak −$7,641Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
20/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale44
Adjusted win rateraw 100.0% · shrunk toward 50%31
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable30
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d5
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity52
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yesopen−$2,220Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yesopen−$142Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yesopen−$105Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Noopen−$36Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesopen−$10
Open positions · 7
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 76.2k | 33.1¢ | 48.4¢ | $36.9k | +$11.7k | $0 | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 50.0k | 20¢ | 22.2¢ | $11.1k | +$1,084 | $0 | |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 13.3k | 18.8¢ | 17.8¢ | $2,358 | −$142 | $0 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 1,140 | 87.7¢ | 84.6¢ | $964 | −$36 | $0 | |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Yes | 8,190 | 12.3¢ | 11.1¢ | $905 | −$105 | $0 | |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 9,412 | 29.7¢ | 6.1¢ | $574 | −$2,220 | $0 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 14 | 72¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | −$0.14 |
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