PnL all-time−$20vol $32.4k
PnL 30d−$115gains $257 · losses $405
PnL 7d−$260win rate 7d 64.3%
Win rate66.9%adj 64.7% · 30d 76.7%
Open value$107cash n/a
Positions6 / 136open / all-time
Max drawdown−33.3%of equity peak
Account age4molast trade 2d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$38below peak −$328Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
52/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 66.9% · shrunk toward 50%62
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable71
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d93
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity67
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed+$194Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$68Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September? · Noclosed+$36Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 8? · Noclosed+$30Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$28
Worst markets
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 11? · Noclosed−$360US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$33US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? · Noclosed−$31Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed−$19Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 27? · Noclosed−$17
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 151 | 64¢ | 61.5¢ | $93 | −$3.78 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 24 | 59¢ | 59.5¢ | $15 | +$0.12 | $0 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | No | 33 | 12¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.00 | $0 | |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 28? | Yes | 25 | 4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.01 | $0 | |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 30? | No | 13 | 8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.02 | −$0.07 | |
| Olympique Lyonnais vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Team to Advance | Olympique Lyonnais | 8 | 64¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.90 | $0 |
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