PnL all-time−$268vol $64.0k
PnL 30d+$226gains $432 · losses $353
PnL 7d+$295win rate 7d 25.0%
Win rate48.6%adj 48.7% · 30d 25.0%
Open value$86cash n/a
Positions16 / 384open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 38m ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
Not enough history to draw an equity curve.
SharpScore inputs
49/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 48.6% · shrunk toward 50%22
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable86
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET · Upclosed+$345Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? · Yesclosed+$116Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET · Upclosed+$104Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:55AM-3:00AM ET · Upclosed+$98Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET · Upclosed+$97
Worst markets
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET · Downclosed−$200Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET · Upclosed−$182Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET · Downclosed−$110Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET · Upclosed−$104Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET · Upclosed−$100
Open positions · 12
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 67 | 15¢ | 15.5¢ | $10 | +$0.33 | $0 | |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | Yes | 297 | 3.4¢ | 3.2¢ | $9.52 | −$0.48 | $0 | |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 32 | 31¢ | 29.5¢ | $9.52 | −$0.48 | $0 | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | Yes | 125 | 8¢ | 7.5¢ | $9.38 | −$0.63 | $0 | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 250 | 4¢ | 3.7¢ | $9.13 | −$0.88 | $0 | |
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | No | 37 | 27¢ | 24¢ | $8.89 | −$1.11 | $0 | |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 50 | 20¢ | 15.5¢ | $7.75 | −$2.25 | $0 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 150 | 10¢ | 4.7¢ | $6.97 | −$8.02 | $0 | |
| Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second? | No | 10.0k | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $5.00 | −$4.99 | $0 | |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | Yes | 200 | 4.5¢ | 2.5¢ | $4.90 | −$4.10 | $0 | |
| Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31? | Yes | 153 | 13.1¢ | 1.8¢ | $2.76 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 71 | 7¢ | 1.9¢ | $1.32 | −$3.68 | $0 |
Recent trades
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