sharpside
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helvetic-samba

0x2bc…b4da
PoliticsSportCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$1,560vol $1.77M
PnL 30d−$2,199gains $10.6k · losses $16.5k
PnL 7d−$194win rate 7d 14.2%
Win rate35.1%adj 35.7% · 30d 27.2%
Open value$483cash n/a
Positions262 / 1,806open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 1h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$859below peak −$3,564Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

29/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 35.1% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 12?Yes39839.4¢43.5¢$173+$16+$116
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes3,81311.7¢3.1¢$116−$330+$48
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes20062¢44.6¢$89−$35$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 12?No80512.7¢3.1¢$25−$78$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?Yes2,0001.1¢1.2¢$23+$1.00$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 13?No20015¢10.5¢$21−$9.00$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 13?Yes1148.6¢10.5¢$12+$2.11$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 13?No7004¢1.4¢$9.45−$18$0
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?No2004.5¢3.1¢$6.10−$2.90$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 12?Yes1002.9¢4.1¢$4.10+$1.20$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 12?No4003¢0.4¢$1.40−$11$0
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $75?No606.8¢2.2¢$1.29−$2.77$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 12?No1001.1¢0.2¢$0.15−$0.95$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 3?Yes2,5766.4¢0¢$0−$164−$7.04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 8?Yes2,30017¢0¢$0−$392−$7.66
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 10?No2,1736¢0¢$0−$131−$3.80
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 10?Yes2,1402.7¢0¢$0−$57−$1.04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 8?No1,9463.2¢0¢$0−$62−$3.14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 9?Yes1,8902.9¢0¢$0−$55−$2.12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 9?Yes1,7002.1¢0¢$0−$35−$2.29
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Yes1,5001.6¢0¢$0−$23$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 3?No1,40534.2¢0¢$0−$480−$14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 10?No1,40013.8¢0¢$0−$193−$3.48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes1,4004.3¢0¢$0−$60−$132
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?Yes1,3001¢0¢$0−$13−$0.56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 11?Yes1,2502.6¢0¢$0−$32−$0.62
Will Greece win on 2026-09-27?No1,19225.5¢0¢$0−$304−$5.38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 10?No1,1072.5¢0¢$0−$27+$17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 10?Yes1,0708.1¢0¢$0−$87−$2.98
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Yes1,0003.4¢0¢$0−$34$0
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Yes1,0003.4¢0¢$0−$34$0
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Yes1,0003.4¢0¢$0−$34$0
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Yes1,0003.4¢0¢$0−$34$0
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Yes1,0003.4¢0¢$0−$34$0
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Yes1,0003.4¢0¢$0−$34$0
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Yes1,0003.4¢0¢$0−$34$0
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Yes1,0003.4¢0¢$0−$34$0
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Yes1,0003.4¢0¢$0−$34$0
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Yes1,0003.4¢0¢$0−$34$0
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Yes1,0003.4¢0¢$0−$34$0
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Yes1,0003.4¢0¢$0−$34$0
CA Barracas Central vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 1.5Over1,00052.3¢0¢$0−$523$0
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?No95029.4¢0¢$0−$279−$0.55
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?Yes93415.8¢0¢$0−$147$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 11?Yes85010.1¢0¢$0−$86−$1.57
Botafogo FR vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 0.5Under7992¢0¢$0−$16−$0.78
Will Luan Santana attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Yes73812.8¢0¢$0−$95−$2.25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 10?Yes7001.4¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Will Germany win on 2026-09-27?Yes70042.9¢0¢$0−$300−$1.65
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-09-17?Yes70014¢0¢$0−$98−$1.91
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?No69555.8¢0¢$0−$388−$3.78
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 4?No6892.2¢0¢$0−$15$0
Independiente Santa Fe vs. AD Cali: O/U 1.5Over64654.5¢0¢$0−$352−$2.49
Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Yes6001.7¢0¢$0−$10−$0.13
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 0.5Over60084.7¢0¢$0−$508−$1.53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 11?No6001.7¢0¢$0−$10−$0.08
Norway vs. Portugal: Both Teams to ScoreNo60032.7¢0¢$0−$196−$4.04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 4?No6008.8¢0¢$0−$53$0
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes5927¢0¢$0−$42$0
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes5920¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes5927¢0¢$0−$42$0
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes5920¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes5920¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes5927¢0¢$0−$42$0
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes5927¢0¢$0−$42$0
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes5920¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes5927¢0¢$0−$42$0
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes5920¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes5927¢0¢$0−$42$0
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes5920¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes5920¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes5927¢0¢$0−$42$0
Canada vs. Chile: O/U 2.5Over51056.9¢0¢$0−$290$0
Clube do Remo vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 0.5Under50010¢0¢$0−$50−$2.25
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-07-24?Yes50018.2¢0¢$0−$91$0
Fortaleza EC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 0.5Under50010¢0¢$0−$50−$2.25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 4?No5003.6¢0¢$0−$18−$0.52
SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño: O/U 1.5Under49775.9¢0¢$0−$378−$3.98
Fluminense FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 0.5Under41113.9¢0¢$0−$57−$2.41
EC Juventude vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 0.5Under40216.1¢0¢$0−$65+$28
Clube do Remo vs. Santos FC: O/U 0.5Under40010¢0¢$0−$40+$16
Croatia vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreNo40014¢0¢$0−$56−$2.41
EC Vitória vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 3.5Under40053.5¢0¢$0−$214$0
Coritiba FBC vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 5.5Under40086¢0¢$0−$344−$1.40
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5Over40052.2¢0¢$0−$209$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8?Yes4002.4¢0¢$0−$9.80−$179
Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5Under40035.5¢0¢$0−$142−$4.56
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?No40026.2¢0¢$0−$105$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 2?No40013.2¢0¢$0−$53−$3.17
Canada vs. Chile: Both Teams to ScoreYes40010¢0¢$0−$40$0
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-09-19?Yes40037.2¢0¢$0−$149$0
Canada vs. Chile: O/U 3.5Over40029.7¢0¢$0−$119$0
SE Palmeiras vs. LDU de Quito: O/U 0.5Under3678.3¢0¢$0−$30−$1.02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 24?No3505.3¢0¢$0−$19+$0.91
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes35010.7¢0¢$0−$37$0
CSyD Macará vs. Santos FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes35011¢0¢$0−$38−$0.10
Botafogo FR vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 0.5Under3009¢0¢$0−$27−$1.23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 14?Yes3001.7¢0¢$0−$5.10−$0.35
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?Yes30011.1¢0¢$0−$33$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 14?No3002.9¢0¢$0−$8.64−$0.59

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 13?15¢65$9.7535%29
BUY NoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 13?1.7¢400$6.8035%29
BUY NoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 12?4.2¢55$2.3535%29
BUY YesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 12?45¢200$9035%29
BUY YesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 12?50¢200$10035%29
BUY YesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 12?40¢100$4035%29
BUY NoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 12?5¢100$5.0035%29
BUY NoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 12?4.9¢5$0.2535%29
SELL YesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 12?44¢20$8.8035%29
SELL YesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 12?42.5¢10$4.2535%29
BUY NoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 12?1.7¢5$0.0935%29
BUY YesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 12?83¢100$8335%29
BUY NoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 13?6¢72$4.3235%29
BUY YesWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10?87¢900$78335%29
BUY YesWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10?84¢700$58835%29
BUY NoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 10?5¢400$2035%29
BUY NoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 12?1.1¢100$1.1035%29
BUY YesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 11?0.9¢500$4.5035%29
BUY YesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 11?8¢200$1635%29
BUY YesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 10?3.8¢280$1135%29