PnL all-time+$544kvol $2.54M
PnL 30d−$479gains $555 · losses $45
PnL 7d−$185win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate38.1%adj 41.9% · 30d 66.7%
Open value$391cash n/a
Positions7 / 51open / all-time
Max drawdown−5.2%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 23d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$543kbelow peak −$28.4kOct 9
SharpScore inputs
49/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale82
Adjusted win rateraw 38.1% · shrunk toward 50%5
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable57
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d23
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity95
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? · Yesclosed−$12.5kWill Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30? · Yesopen−$10.2kWill a Republican win Maine Presidential Election? · Yesclosed−$8,099Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election? · Yesclosed−$4,881Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election? · Yesclosed−$4,110
Open positions · 7
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31? | Yes | 3,688 | 7¢ | 5¢ | $184 | −$74 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3,000 | 26¢ | 2.6¢ | $78 | −$702 | −$71 | |
| Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,639 | 7¢ | 3.9¢ | $64 | −$51 | −$15 | |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 930 | 60.9¢ | 5.5¢ | $51 | −$515 | −$16 | |
| Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 251 | 11.4¢ | 5.5¢ | $14 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30? | Yes | 31.3k | 25.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8,088 | −$2,144 | |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30? | Yes | 10.7k | 27¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,876 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s