PnL all-time−$290vol $20.2k
PnL 30d−$84gains $0 · losses $89
PnL 7d−$84win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate45.8%adj 47.7% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$0cash n/a
Positions5 / 29open / all-time
Max drawdown−56.2%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$227below peak −$562Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
24/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 45.8% · shrunk toward 50%19
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable49
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d95
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity44
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026? · Noclosed+$280US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026? · Noclosed+$67Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? · Yesclosed+$50Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? · Yesclosed+$41Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026? · Noclosed+$39
Worst markets
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026? · Noopen−$242Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026? · Noclosed−$142Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? · Yesopen−$99Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 12? · Yesclosed−$89Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? · Yesopen−$86
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026? | No | 1,594 | 15.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$242 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | Yes | 685 | 12.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$83 | −$3.57 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? | Yes | 273 | 18.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | −$2.04 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | Yes | 187 | 51.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$96 | −$2.33 | |
| Will Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 121 | 3.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.25 | −$0.52 |
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