sharpside
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Traders/Rank #11,505

rocky42015

0x2c1…42d8
1y+WeatherPoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$13.1kvol $9.38M
PnL 30d−$6,012gains $6,365 · losses $5,692
PnL 7d−$3,687win rate 7d 62.1%
Win rate49.9%adj 49.9% · 30d 51.1%
Open value$8,739cash n/a
Positions279 / 6,726open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$14.3kbelow peak −$21.3kOct 12

SharpScore inputs

31/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 49.9% · shrunk toward 50%25
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d92
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 12?No32355.7¢100¢$323+$143+$2.44
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on October 5?No29649.2¢100¢$296+$150+$17
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 8?No27467.5¢100¢$274+$89−$8.31
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?No26893¢93.6¢$251+$1.47$0
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?No30880.8¢78.5¢$242−$7.22$0
Will Trump say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during his Midterm Rally in New York?No21026.6¢100¢$210+$154$0
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?No21296.9¢95.8¢$203−$2.28+$4.10
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?No1,05320¢18.5¢$195−$16$0
Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No25186.8¢77.5¢$194−$23$0
Will the USS George H.W. Bush be in CENTCOM on October 31, 2026?No79231.3¢24¢$190−$58$0
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on October 4?No17970.6¢100¢$179+$53+$5.85
Israel Election: Sami Abu Shehadeh Effectively Banned?No17922.6¢100¢$179+$139+$85
Nobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual?Yes17765.6¢100¢$177+$61+$30
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on October 8?No17573¢100¢$175+$47+$2.07
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 9?No17255.6¢100¢$172+$77+$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 9?No17163¢100¢$171+$63+$16
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 1?No16349.8¢100¢$163+$82+$7.20
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?No16495.5¢94.8¢$155−$1.23$0
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?No21357.8¢67.5¢$144+$21+$77
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 4?No14366.2¢100¢$143+$48+$0.69
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 12?No30347.9¢45¢$136−$8.93−$0.27
Scarborough Athletic FC vs. Macclesfield FC: O/U 3.5Under13360¢100¢$133+$53$0
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 5?No13222.3¢100¢$132+$103+$13
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?No42850.6¢30¢$128−$88−$34
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 10?No12563.3¢100¢$125+$46+$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on October 8?No12353.8¢100¢$123+$57+$11
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 10?No12245.8¢100¢$122+$66−$7.61
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 10?No12239.8¢100¢$122+$74+$18
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $58 in October?No30031.1¢40.5¢$122+$28$0
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 7?No12072.1¢100¢$120+$33+$5.39
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 10?No11577¢100¢$115+$26$0
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on October 1?No10588.6¢100¢$105+$12+$5.32
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 10?No10469.3¢100¢$104+$32+$6.20
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 2?No9776¢100¢$97+$23+$0.41
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in October?Yes28633.7¢32¢$92−$4.86$0
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on October 12?No8062¢99.9¢$80+$30$0
Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship?No9881¢80.7¢$79−$0.34−$0.57
Spread: South Africa (-2.5)South Africa7928¢100¢$79+$57$0
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 1?No7884.8¢100¢$78+$12+$9.29
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 1?No7891.4¢100¢$78+$6.71$0
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 5?Yes7717¢100¢$77+$64+$18
São Paulo FC vs. Santos FC: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver7747¢100¢$77+$41$0
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 10?Yes7536¢100¢$75+$48−$1.08
Dana White's Contender Series: Preston LaGrange vs. Nell Ariano (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)Preston LaGrange7218.7¢100¢$72+$58+$0.33
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 10?No7138.7¢100¢$71+$44+$36
CR Brasil vs. AC Goianiense: O/U 2.5Over7153¢100¢$71+$33$0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 3?No6669.2¢100¢$66+$20+$95
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on October 2?No6382.8¢100¢$63+$11+$1.98
Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes30015¢20.5¢$62+$17$0
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Yes30022¢20.5¢$61−$4.63−$92
Will Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in New York?Yes6159.8¢100¢$61+$24+$4.42
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 7?No6074.2¢100¢$60+$16+$24
Rainbow Six Siege: G2 Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - Europe MENA League Stage 2 PlayoffsG2 Esports5963¢100¢$59+$22+$5.75
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes9961.7¢56.8¢$56−$4.84−$12
Will Tommie Ekered be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County?Yes3007.4¢18.2¢$54+$32$0
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 12?No5469.8¢100¢$54+$16$0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 3?No5080.4¢100¢$50+$9.77+$0.93
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election?Yes29430.4¢16.5¢$49−$41−$0.65
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on October 9?No4788.6¢100¢$47+$5.34−$2.69
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 10?Yes4642.8¢100¢$46+$27+$53
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on October 1?Yes4441.6¢100¢$44+$26+$45
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes29911¢14.5¢$43+$10−$55
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 12?No7556.2¢55.5¢$42−$0.55+$2.46
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 5?No4158.7¢100¢$41+$17+$2.20
Natural Disaster in 2026?Yes49632¢8¢$40−$119−$34
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 4?Yes4038.8¢100¢$40+$24$0
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 7?No3887¢100¢$38+$4.89+$2.66
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on October 12?No3767¢100¢$37+$12$0
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in October?Yes28428¢13¢$37−$43−$12
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 8?Yes3780.3¢100¢$37+$7.28+$44
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 4?No3682.9¢100¢$36+$6.12−$22
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in September?No3467¢100¢$34+$11−$1.99
Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes17526¢18.5¢$32−$13$0
Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?No5158.3¢60.5¢$31+$1.10$0
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?No16613¢17.5¢$29+$7.47+$0.48
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on November 30, 2026?No3184.1¢90.6¢$28+$2.02$0
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on October 2?No2874.1¢100¢$28+$7.25−$6.13
Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by October 31?Yes4645.8¢56¢$26+$4.68$0
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 7?No2571.2¢100¢$25+$7.20+$0.86
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 7?No2567.7¢100¢$25+$7.98−$5.23
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 4?No2479¢100¢$24+$4.99$0
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?Yes13645.4¢16¢$22−$40−$43
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 3?No2111¢100¢$21+$19$0
Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by October 31?No4737¢44¢$21+$3.32+$48
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 5?No2185¢100¢$21+$3.10$0
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on October 1?No2168.8¢100¢$21+$6.42+$1.18
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on October 7?No2090.1¢100¢$20+$2.00$0
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 9?Yes2067¢100¢$20+$6.57+$5.65
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 13?No3856¢51.5¢$20−$1.72$0
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 4?No1956¢100¢$19+$8.36$0
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping by October 31?Yes19612¢9.5¢$19−$4.89$0
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 102°F or higher on October 3?No1870.4¢100¢$18+$5.33$0
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?No10331¢17.5¢$18−$14+$84
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?Yes30020¢6¢$18−$42$0
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 10?No1784¢100¢$17+$2.77$0
Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes29247.4¢5.5¢$16−$123−$48
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?No3996.5¢4¢$16−$10−$90
Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?No4020¢39.5¢$16+$7.80$0
Will Dexter McCoy win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election?No9016¢17.5¢$16+$1.35$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-50 House seat?No4187¢3.7¢$15−$14$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 10?97¢29$2850%31
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 10?47¢100$4750%31
SELL NoWill Trump say "Gulf of America" during his Midterm Rally in New York?57¢68$3950%31
SELL NoWill Trump say "Gulf of America" during his Midterm Rally in New York?57¢113$6450%31
SELL YesPredict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?20¢6$1.2050%31
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 8?59¢10$5.9050%31
SELL UnderScarborough Athletic FC vs. Macclesfield FC: O/U 2.536¢21$7.5650%31
SELL YesWill Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship?15.5¢62$9.6150%31
SELL YesWill Democratic House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?11.2¢20$2.2450%31
SELL NoWill Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship?84.1¢94$7950%31
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3?46¢5$2.3050%31
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on October 1?50¢10$5.0050%31
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 1?46¢25$1250%31
SELL Gamespace Mediterranean College EsportsLoL: Frites Esports Club vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage39¢163$6450%31
SELL NoUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?95.1¢54$5150%31
SELL GalionsLoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs36¢156$5650%31
SELL AfghanistanAsian Games Men: India vs Afghanistan25¢133$3350%31
SELL IcelandSpread: Iceland (-1.5)56¢8$4.4850%31
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on September 27?53¢128$6850%31
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on September 26?50¢10$5.0050%31