PnL all-time+$4,270vol $192k
PnL 30d+$422gains $366 · losses $0.04
PnL 7d+$294win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate69.0%adj 61.2% · 30d 66.7%
Open value$0cash n/a
Positions8 / 37open / all-time
Max drawdown−12.6%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$4,328below peak −$142Oct 10
SharpScore inputs
46/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale52
Adjusted win rateraw 69.0% · shrunk toward 50%53
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable52
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d93
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity87
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$2,519US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · Noclosed+$637Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET · Downclosed+$497Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026? · Noclosed+$295Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? · Noclosed+$266
Worst markets
Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess? · Yesclosed−$377Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET · Downclosed−$225Israel closes its airspace by July 24? · Yesopen−$87Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET · Downopen−$86US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Noclosed−$32
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by July 24? | Yes | 2,748 | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$87 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET | Down | 263 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | Yes | 198 | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.79 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | Down | 186 | 46.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$86 | −$0.19 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | Down | 34 | 41.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$14 | −$0.60 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24? | No | 24 | 1.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.46 | +$14 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET | Down | 14 | 26.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.69 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | Up | 5 | 19¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.95 | $0 |
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