| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 20.2k | 50.5¢ | 85.5¢ | $17.3k | +$7,079 | $0 | |
| Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | No | 1,558 | 50.9¢ | 88.5¢ | $1,379 | +$585 | +$5.37 | |
| Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by December 31? | Yes | 2,260 | 35.9¢ | 55.5¢ | $1,254 | +$443 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-21 House seat? | Yes | 769 | 84¢ | 93.5¢ | $719 | +$73 | $0 | |
| Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg? | No | 661 | 60.4¢ | 91.8¢ | $606 | +$207 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IN-01 House seat? | Yes | 577 | 83¢ | 98¢ | $565 | +$86 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the MN-06 House seat? | Yes | 577 | 80.1¢ | 95¢ | $548 | +$86 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the WI-08 House seat? | Yes | 578 | 79¢ | 87.5¢ | $506 | +$49 | $0 | |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 865 | 61.5¢ | 57.9¢ | $500 | −$32 | −$42 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the MN-08 House seat? | Yes | 577 | 77¢ | 86.5¢ | $499 | +$55 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-02 House seat? | Yes | 577 | 80¢ | 86¢ | $496 | +$35 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat? | Yes | 577 | 63.5¢ | 84.5¢ | $488 | +$121 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the NE-01 House seat? | Yes | 577 | 82¢ | 81.5¢ | $470 | −$2.88 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-04 House election by 35% or more? | No | 441 | 80.8¢ | 98.9¢ | $436 | +$79 | $0 | |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Yes | 597 | 72.6¢ | 70.5¢ | $421 | −$13 | +$22 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the KY-06 House seat? | Yes | 577 | 69¢ | 66.5¢ | $384 | −$14 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-24 House seat? | Yes | 384 | 84¢ | 96.4¢ | $370 | +$48 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-17 House seat? | Yes | 384 | 93¢ | 95¢ | $365 | +$7.68 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | No | 881 | 21.9¢ | 39.5¢ | $348 | +$155 | +$523 | |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2,162 | 11.5¢ | 15.5¢ | $335 | +$87 | $0 | |
| Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 385 | 57.2¢ | 78.5¢ | $302 | +$82 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat? | No | 447 | 68¢ | 61.5¢ | $275 | −$29 | $0 | |
| Will there be between 120m and 125m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? | No | 311 | 68.6¢ | 84¢ | $261 | +$48 | $0 | |
| Plague case in US by December 31? | Yes | 3,477 | 14.1¢ | 7¢ | $243 | −$248 | $0 | |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,572 | 28¢ | 14¢ | $220 | −$220 | $0 | |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | No | 219 | 50.1¢ | 94.2¢ | $206 | +$96 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? | No | 238 | 24.8¢ | 84¢ | $200 | +$141 | $0 | |
| US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31? | No | 205 | 88¢ | 90.4¢ | $185 | +$4.82 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-21 House seat? | No | 192 | 86¢ | 95.5¢ | $183 | +$18 | $0 | |
| Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 218 | 29.9¢ | 84¢ | $183 | +$118 | $0 | |
| California voter ID referendum passes? | Yes | 439 | 20.9¢ | 41.5¢ | $182 | +$91 | +$53 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the WI-07 House seat? | Yes | 192 | 85¢ | 94.5¢ | $181 | +$18 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 478 | 50¢ | 37.5¢ | $179 | −$60 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TN-05 House seat? | No | 192 | 80¢ | 92.8¢ | $178 | +$25 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the TN-05 House seat? | Yes | 192 | 81¢ | 91.5¢ | $176 | +$20 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WA-03 House seat? | Yes | 192 | 73¢ | 89.5¢ | $172 | +$32 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat? | No | 192 | 79¢ | 81.9¢ | $157 | +$5.47 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat? | Yes | 192 | 79¢ | 81.5¢ | $156 | +$4.80 | $0 | |
| SCOTUS grants Trump Birthright Citizenship Rehearing by December 31? | No | 171 | 81.3¢ | 88.2¢ | $151 | +$12 | +$3.39 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-05 House election by 35% or more? | No | 154 | 76.7¢ | 97.1¢ | $149 | +$31 | $0 | |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 158 | 50¢ | 86.5¢ | $137 | +$58 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat? | No | 192 | 68¢ | 66.5¢ | $128 | −$2.88 | $0 | |
| Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | Yes | 751 | 45.6¢ | 16.7¢ | $125 | −$217 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat? | No | 192 | 72¢ | 63.5¢ | $122 | −$16 | $0 | |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 751 | 36¢ | 16¢ | $120 | −$150 | $0 | |
| Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | No | 130 | 53¢ | 90.8¢ | $118 | +$49 | $0 | |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 853 | 28¢ | 13.5¢ | $115 | −$124 | −$44 | |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? | No | 120 | 75.8¢ | 90.5¢ | $108 | +$18 | $0 | |
| U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 705 | 37.3¢ | 14¢ | $99 | −$164 | $0 | |
| SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement? | Yes | 596 | 34.8¢ | 16.5¢ | $98 | −$109 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WA-08 House seat? | Yes | 96 | 88¢ | 98.1¢ | $94 | +$9.66 | $0 | |
| Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? | Yes | 433 | 35.1¢ | 20.5¢ | $89 | −$63 | $0 | |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? | Yes | 263 | 28.9¢ | 33.5¢ | $88 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will Scott Bessent be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | No | 85 | 89.5¢ | 99.5¢ | $85 | +$8.45 | $0 | |
| Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 House seat? | Yes | 96 | 80.1¢ | 82¢ | $79 | +$1.87 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat? | No | 103 | 70¢ | 70.5¢ | $72 | +$0.51 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico Senate election by 21% or more? | Yes | 154 | 25.4¢ | 42.5¢ | $65 | +$26 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-09 House seat? | Yes | 90 | 71¢ | 71.5¢ | $64 | +$0.45 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | No | 67 | 23.9¢ | 95.5¢ | $64 | +$48 | +$1,851 | |
| Weed rescheduled by December 31? | Yes | 1,480 | 17.4¢ | 4.2¢ | $62 | −$195 | $0 | |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 248 | 10¢ | 23.5¢ | $58 | +$33 | $0 | |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | No | 3,408 | 3.9¢ | 1.7¢ | $58 | −$75 | $0 | |
| Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg? | Yes | 89 | 42.9¢ | 64¢ | $57 | +$19 | $0 | |
| Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 288 | 13¢ | 18.5¢ | $53 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-27 House seat? | Yes | 55 | 70.1¢ | 96.5¢ | $53 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will Trump Airport become law this year? | No | 49 | 83.7¢ | 97.6¢ | $48 | +$6.77 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat? | Yes | 65 | 67¢ | 65.5¢ | $43 | −$0.97 | $0 | |
| Blue wave in 2026? | No | 307 | 14.5¢ | 13.5¢ | $42 | −$3.06 | $0 | |
| Will New Democracy (ND) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections? | No | 388 | 5.6¢ | 10¢ | $39 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher? | Yes | 218 | 17.2¢ | 16.5¢ | $36 | −$1.57 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump visit Hawaii in 2026? | No | 40 | 57.8¢ | 87¢ | $35 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | No | 35 | 63¢ | 98.8¢ | $35 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 407 | 23.2¢ | 8¢ | $32 | −$62 | −$15 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat? | Yes | 52 | 68.5¢ | 61.5¢ | $32 | −$3.66 | $0 | |
| Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 145 | 25.6¢ | 22¢ | $32 | −$5.20 | $0 | |
| Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026? | No | 36 | 53.4¢ | 86¢ | $31 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026? | Yes | 384 | 31.2¢ | 5.7¢ | $22 | −$98 | −$4.46 | |
| Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | Yes | 189 | 5.5¢ | 7.9¢ | $15 | +$4.45 | $0 | |
| Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | Yes | 196 | 4.8¢ | 7.4¢ | $14 | +$4.97 | $0 | |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | No | 105 | 51.8¢ | 12.5¢ | $13 | −$41 | +$344 | |
| Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027? | Yes | 240 | 11¢ | 4.2¢ | $10 | −$16 | $0 | |
| Will there be between 105m and 110m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? | Yes | 107 | 0.7¢ | 9¢ | $9.55 | +$8.84 | $0 | |
| RFK Jr. Out by December 31? | No | 8 | 60.6¢ | 88¢ | $6.98 | +$2.17 | −$5.13 | |
| FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 235 | 6¢ | 2.9¢ | $6.93 | −$7.17 | $0 | |
| Will Doug Burgum be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | Yes | 209 | 0.3¢ | 2.8¢ | $5.84 | +$5.21 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-17 House seat? | Yes | 98 | 2¢ | 5.3¢ | $5.16 | +$3.20 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat? | Yes | 8 | 69.7¢ | 59.5¢ | $5.03 | −$0.86 | +$21 | |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be 650,000 or more? | Yes | 61 | 2.2¢ | 8.2¢ | $5.01 | +$3.66 | $0 | |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027? | Yes | 71 | 10.2¢ | 6.5¢ | $4.60 | −$2.63 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026? | Yes | 57 | 22.6¢ | 6.5¢ | $3.69 | −$9.11 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? | Yes | 31 | 51.6¢ | 11¢ | $3.35 | −$12 | −$0.10 | |
| Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026? | Yes | 73 | 17¢ | 1.1¢ | $0.80 | −$12 | −$25 | |
| Will Vassil Terziev win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 385 | 3.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.19 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 384 | 0.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.19 | −$1.72 | $0 | |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%? | No | 11.0k | 35.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,917 | +$194 | |
| Kash Patel out by May 31? | Yes | 8,248 | 19.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,590 | −$144 | |
| Will a candidate win outright in the Texas GOP Senate Primary? | Yes | 7,795 | 10¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$777 | +$155 | |
| Will any candidate win the Texas Republican Senate Primary outright? | Yes | 7,451 | 10.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$789 | $0 | |
| Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in November? | Yes | 7,421 | 14.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,067 | $0 | |
| Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28? | Yes | 7,113 | 32.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,298 | −$206 | |