sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #3,041

mr-green-tea

0x2c6…1019
WhaleWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$7,748vol $345k
PnL 30d+$448gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$173win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate96.6%adj 77.6% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$104kcash n/a
Positions26 / 55open / all-time
Max drawdown−45.2%of equity peak
Account age1.2ylast trade 1mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$16.4kbelow peak −$413Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

42/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale56
Adjusted win rateraw 96.6% · shrunk toward 50%94
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable58
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity55

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Noopen+$4,203Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025? · Noclosed+$2,323Trump out as President before 2027? · Noopen+$1,604Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Noclosed+$1,497Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Noopen+$1,405

Worst markets

Maduro out by March 31, 2026? · Noopen−$1,120Maduro out by January 31, 2026? · Noopen−$940Maduro out by February 28, 2026? · Noopen−$870Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yesopen−$669Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? · Noopen−$669

Open positions · 26

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No52.6k89.4¢97.4¢$51.2k+$4,203$0
Trump out as President before 2027?No22.6k88.7¢95.8¢$21.7k+$1,604$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No16.7k88.3¢96.6¢$16.2k+$1,382$0
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes7,42677.5¢95¢$7,054+$1,300$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No3,32045.7¢95.5¢$3,171+$1,655−$250
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No3,00093¢97.1¢$2,912+$122$0
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?No1,21090.5¢97.1¢$1,175+$80$0
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes2,38935.5¢7.5¢$179−$669$0
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes1,85027¢0.8¢$15−$485$0
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes2,00025¢0.3¢$5.00−$495$0
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes10.0k0.7¢0¢$0−$70$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on December 5?Yes2,5000.2¢0¢$0−$5.00$0
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?No1,38381¢0¢$0−$1,120$0
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No1,30051.4¢0¢$0−$669$0
Zelensky resigns in 2025?Yes1,2975.4¢0¢$0−$70$0
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the February Meeting?Yes1,2500.8¢0¢$0−$10$0
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes1,0000.3¢0¢$0−$3.00$0
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?No1,00056¢0¢$0−$560$0
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes1,0007¢0¢$0−$70$0
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?No1,00094¢0¢$0−$940$0
Maduro out by February 28, 2026?No1,00087¢0¢$0−$870$0
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?Yes8486.2¢0¢$0−$53$0
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?Yes6163.5¢0¢$0−$21$0
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?Yes38012¢0¢$0−$46$0
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes18211¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the March Meeting?Yes1765.7¢0¢$0−$10$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?93¢53$4997%42
BUY NoPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?92¢15$1497%42
BUY NoTrump out as President before 2027?92¢2,400$2,20897%42
BUY NoWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?95.7¢4,576$4,37997%42
BUY NoPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?86¢8,000$6,88097%42
BUY NoPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?88¢10$8.8097%42
BUY NoTrump out as President before 2027?90¢1,059$95397%42
BUY NoPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?92¢700$64497%42
BUY NoWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?92.2¢582$53797%42
BUY YesWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?81¢1,500$1,21597%42
BUY NoTrump out as President before 2027?90¢4,000$3,60097%42
BUY NoWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?92¢300$27697%42
BUY NoTrump out as President before 2027?90¢24$2297%42
BUY NoTrump out as President before 2027?89¢11$9.7997%42
SELL NoPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?97.6¢2,000$1,95297%42
SELL NoWill any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?98.3¢768$75697%42
BUY NoWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?90.6¢13$1297%42
BUY NoTrump out as President before 2027?84¢6$5.0597%42
BUY NoWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?88.6¢3,487$3,08997%42
BUY NoWill any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?95.4¢219$20997%42