PnL all-time+$17.2kvol $1.34M
PnL 30d+$942gains $30 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$128win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate85.0%adj 82.0% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$19.6kcash n/a
Positions5 / 218open / all-time
Max drawdown−15.6%of equity peak
Account age2.7ylast trade 3d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$18.5kbelow peak −$460Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
80/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale61
Adjusted win rateraw 85.0% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable78
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d88
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity84
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $40m? · Noclosed+$2,481Will 'Wicked' gross more than $500 million domestically by January 9? · Noclosed+$2,030Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross more than $170m opening weekend? · Noclosed+$1,978Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024? · Yesclosed+$1,522Will 'Sonic 3' gross between $72-80m on 3-day opening weekend? · Noclosed+$1,039
Worst markets
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30? · Yesclosed−$1,923Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%? · Noclosed−$1,909Will 'Moana 2' gross over $200m on 5-day opening? · Noclosed−$746Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting? · Yesclosed−$733Will 'Final Destination: Bloodlines' gross more than $52m opening weekend? · Noclosed−$561
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 14.4k | 94¢ | 95.5¢ | $13.8k | +$215 | −$23 | |
| Will 2026 rank 6th or higher among the highest domestic box office years? | No | 5,402 | 80.1¢ | 95.5¢ | $5,159 | +$832 | +$15 | |
| Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend? | Avengers: Doomsday | 375 | 95.1¢ | 97.3¢ | $365 | +$8.14 | +$31 | |
| Will Dunesday beat Barbenheimer's opening weekend record? | Yes | 355 | 95.6¢ | 97.3¢ | $346 | +$5.87 | +$2.34 | |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase August 18-24? | Yes | 97 | 50¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$49 | −$1.70 |
Recent trades
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