sharpside
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Traders/Rank #9,882

0x2CA

0x2ca…c773
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+WeatherCryptoPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$1,428vol $1.10M
PnL 30d+$272gains $395 · losses $149
PnL 7d−$273win rate 7d 99.7%
Win rate99.8%adj 97.9% · 30d 99.8%
Open value$10.7kcash n/a
Positions2,000 / 11,837open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 11m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$878below peak −$935Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

47/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 99.8% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on October 12?No55099.9¢100¢$550+$0.31$0
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes51299.8¢99.2¢$508−$2.88$0
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on October 13?No50499.8¢99.8¢$503+$0.02$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 12?No50099.7¢100¢$500+$1.25$0
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on October 12?No50099.8¢100¢$500+$0.95$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 12?No50099.8¢100¢$500+$0.75$0
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C or higher on October 12?No50099.7¢100¢$500+$1.12$0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on October 13?No47299.9¢100¢$472+$0.24$0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 13?No46599.8¢100¢$464+$0.70$0
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on October 13?No41299.7¢100¢$412+$0.85$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 13?No40099.9¢100¢$400+$0.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C or below on October 13?No40099.9¢100¢$400+$0.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 13?No35799.9¢100¢$357+$0.21$0
Will White House post 200+ posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes34597¢99.9¢$345+$10$0
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on October 12?No31699.9¢100¢$316+$0.18$0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 13?No31599.7¢99.7¢$314−$0.16$0
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 12?No29999.9¢100¢$299+$0.15$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 12?No24999.9¢100¢$249+$0.12$0
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?No25097.9¢95.5¢$239−$6.25$0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 13?No20599.8¢99.9¢$205+$0.14$0
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on October 12?No20299.9¢100¢$202+$0.10$0
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?No20099.3¢99.8¢$200+$0.95$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 13?No19699.4¢99.5¢$195+$0.10$0
AI bubble burst in 2026?No20586.5¢93.9¢$193+$15$0
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes22299.3¢77.5¢$172−$48$0
Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?No15799.7¢99.4¢$156−$0.47$0
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?No15099.7¢99.9¢$150+$0.16$0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 13?No15099.8¢99.9¢$150+$0.12$0
Will Khamenei post 25-29 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?No15099.9¢99.8¢$150−$0.22$0
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 12?No13899.9¢100¢$138+$0.13$0
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 12?No13399.9¢100¢$132+$0.07$0
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 13?No10099.8¢100¢$100+$0.15$0
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?No10099.8¢99.4¢$99−$0.40$0
Will White House post 180-199 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?No9499¢99.9¢$94+$0.81$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No9386¢93.9¢$87+$7.30$0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 13?No7999.8¢99.6¢$79−$0.13$0
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 79°F or below on October 12?No6499.9¢100¢$64+$0.03$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C or higher on October 13?No4699.9¢100¢$46+$0.02$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on October 12?No4499.7¢100¢$44+$0.11$0
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on October 12?No4099.9¢100¢$40+$0.02$0
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Yes36324.8¢9¢$33−$57+$15
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 13?No3399.8¢100¢$33+$0.05$0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 13?No2899.7¢99.8¢$28+$0.03$0
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on October 12?No2299.7¢100¢$22+$0.06$0
Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?No2299.9¢98.7¢$22−$0.27$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 12?No1299.9¢100¢$12+$0.01$0
Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on October 13?Yes2047¢40.5¢$8.10−$1.30$0
Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?No599.9¢99.5¢$4.97−$0.02$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 13?Yes525¢16¢$0.80−$0.45$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 27?Yes3408.6¢0¢$0−$29−$0.21
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 27?Yes3408.6¢0¢$0−$29−$0.21
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 6?Yes2744.5¢0¢$0−$12+$334
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 16?Yes25099.8¢0¢$0−$249−$0.03
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes25017.1¢0¢$0−$43−$1.77
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 8?No24597.9¢0¢$0−$240−$0.25
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30?Yes2371.2¢0¢$0−$2.84$0
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30?Yes2374¢0¢$0−$9.48$0
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30?Yes2371.2¢0¢$0−$2.78$0
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30?Yes23715¢0¢$0−$36$0
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes22788.5¢0¢$0−$201−$1.15
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 7?Yes2260¢0¢$0$0$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on August 7?Yes2260¢0¢$0$0$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or higher on August 7?Yes2260¢0¢$0$0$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 7?Yes2260¢0¢$0$0$0
Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between August 22 and August 26, 2026?Yes2170.5¢0¢$0−$1.08−$0.05
Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between August 27 and August 31, 2026?Yes2163.4¢0¢$0−$7.36−$0.36
Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on August 25?No20599.7¢0¢$0−$204+$4.96
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on September 14?No20065¢0¢$0−$130−$2.27
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 2?Yes19819.1¢0¢$0−$38−$0.26
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 6?No19565.6¢0¢$0−$128−$187
Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on August 4?Yes18951.5¢0¢$0−$97−$7.78
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 8?Yes18715.3¢0¢$0−$29−$2.74
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on August 6?Yes18610.4¢0¢$0−$19−$0.43
Will “Saturday Night Live” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Yes1842.8¢0¢$0−$5.15−$0.25
Will “The Daily Show” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Yes1844.9¢0¢$0−$9.00−$0.43
Will “Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Yes18310.7¢0¢$0−$20−$0.87
Will “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Yes18311.4¢0¢$0−$21−$0.92
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?No18092.2¢0¢$0−$166−$0.65
Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on July 24?Yes16791.5¢0¢$0−$153−$132
Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on August 12?Yes1578¢0¢$0−$12−$0.17
Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on August 9?Yes1558.4¢0¢$0−$13+$2.06
Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on September 12?No15360.8¢0¢$0−$93−$1.60
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on August 13?Yes1504¢0¢$0−$6.02−$0.29
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on August 14?Yes1501¢0¢$0−$1.50−$0.07
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 8?Yes1504¢0¢$0−$6.00−$0.29
Will the lowest temperature in London be 22°C on August 15?Yes1509.6¢0¢$0−$14−$0.04
Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on August 16?Yes15013¢0¢$0−$19$0
Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on August 18?Yes14931¢0¢$0−$46−$0.65
Will the lowest temperature in London be 23°C on August 14?Yes14924.2¢0¢$0−$36−$0.91
Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on August 15?Yes14739.4¢0¢$0−$58+$22
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 6?Yes13925¢0¢$0−$35+$152
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 18?Yes1381.2¢0¢$0−$1.61−$0.08
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 16?Yes13616.1¢0¢$0−$22−$0.92
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 11?Yes1310¢0¢$0$0$0
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 1?Yes1247.3¢0¢$0−$8.98−$0.42
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 31?Yes11026.3¢0¢$0−$29−$1.06
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 16?Yes1071.4¢0¢$0−$1.55+$49
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 23?No10698¢0¢$0−$104−$0.10
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 31?Yes10523.4¢0¢$0−$25+$1.96
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 30?No10161.6¢0¢$0−$62−$1.19

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY DownEthereum Up or Down - October 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET84¢1$1.00100%47
BUY DownEthereum Up or Down - October 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET75¢1$1.00100%47
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET82¢1$1.00100%47
BUY UpEthereum Up or Down - October 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET75¢1$1.00100%47
BUY UpEthereum Up or Down - October 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET80¢1$1.00100%47
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET76¢1$1.00100%47
BUY DownEthereum Up or Down - October 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET73¢1$1.00100%47
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET82¢1$1.00100%47
BUY DownEthereum Up or Down - October 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET88¢1$1.00100%47
BUY DownEthereum Up or Down - October 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET77¢1$1.00100%47
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET83¢1$1.00100%47
BUY DownEthereum Up or Down - October 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET79¢1$1.00100%47
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 13?99.8¢150$150100%47
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET82¢1$1.00100%47
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 13?99.6¢165$164100%47
BUY DownEthereum Up or Down - October 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET64¢2$1.00100%47
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 13?99.7¢28$28100%47
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 13?99.8¢465$464100%47
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 13?99.8¢205$205100%47
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 13?99.8¢100$100100%47