PnL all-time−$270vol $115k
PnL 30d−$49gains $0 · losses $83
PnL 7d−$7.58win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate71.1%adj 63.8% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$347cash n/a
Positions7 / 47open / all-time
Max drawdown−26.1%of equity peak
Account age1.8ylast trade 3d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$259below peak −$259Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
38/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 71.1% · shrunk toward 50%59
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable56
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d88
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity74
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
TikTok sale announced in 2025? · Noopen−$184Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Noclosed−$60Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yesclosed−$55Will the Washington Nationals win the 2025 World Series? · Yesopen−$28Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch? · Yesclosed−$23
Open positions · 7
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027? | Yes | 230 | 73.2¢ | 74¢ | $170 | +$1.75 | $0 | |
| Will Payward announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? | No | 200 | 78¢ | 77.5¢ | $155 | −$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | Yes | 3,348 | 0.4¢ | 0.4¢ | $12 | −$1.67 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the GA-14 House seat? | Yes | 11 | 96.3¢ | 96.2¢ | $11 | −$0.02 | $0 | |
| Will Bukayo Saka be the top goalscorer in the EPL? | Yes | 4,060 | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$12 | $0 | |
| TikTok sale announced in 2025? | No | 200 | 92¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$184 | $0 | |
| Will the Washington Nationals win the 2025 World Series? | Yes | 60 | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.36 | −$28 |
Recent trades
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