PnL all-time−$1.39vol $4,317
PnL 30d−$1.06gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$1.06win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate97.4%adj 81.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$2,032cash n/a
Positions5 / 43open / all-time
Max drawdown−0.2%of equity peak
Account age1.8ylast trade 12h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$2.45below peak −$2.05Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
53/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 97.4% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable54
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Noopen+$1.81Will Dittman tweet between 70 and 79 times Jan 3-Jan 10? · Noclosed+$0.04Will POTUS tweet 23-25 times Jan 31 - Feb 7? · Noclosed+$0.02Solana above $215 on January 10? · Noclosed+$0.02Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Noopen+$0.01
Worst markets
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 2,113 | 95.6¢ | 95.6¢ | $2,019 | −$1.06 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | No | 8 | 50¢ | 71.5¢ | $6.01 | +$1.81 | $0 | |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 5 | 97.7¢ | 97.9¢ | $5.01 | +$0.01 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 8 | 50¢ | 28.5¢ | $2.39 | −$1.81 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | Yes | 950 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | $0 |
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