sharpside
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Traders/Rank #683

Gohst

0x2d4…ca7a
PnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$295kvol $2.29M
PnL 30d−$16.1kgains $18.3k · losses $19.2k
PnL 7d−$12.9kwin rate 7d 58.8%
Win rate48.6%adj 48.7% · 30d 59.5%
Open value$79.0kcash n/a
Positions137 / 1,999open / all-time
Max drawdown−39.0%of equity peak
Account age1.2ylast trade 5d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$327kbelow peak −$19.7kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

65/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale78
Adjusted win rateraw 48.6% · shrunk toward 50%22
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d83
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity61

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes33.4k10.1¢35.5¢$11.9k+$8,475$0
China x Japan military clash before 2027?No9,05639.3¢95.5¢$8,648+$5,089$0
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?No7,88430.5¢98.9¢$7,794+$5,390$0
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No7,84729.8¢98.9¢$7,760+$5,421$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No5,43213.4¢94.5¢$5,133+$4,405$0
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No5,99031.6¢78.5¢$4,702+$2,809$0
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes11.9k11.6¢26.5¢$3,144+$1,770$0
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No3,25546.1¢88.5¢$2,881+$1,381$0
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?No2,66015¢100¢$2,658+$2,258$0
Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?Yes7,54314¢33.5¢$2,527+$1,471$0
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?No1,29737¢87.5¢$1,135+$655$0
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No1,11959¢99.6¢$1,114+$454$0
Kash Patel out by December 31?No1,35536.7¢79¢$1,070+$572$0
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?No3,54613.9¢29.5¢$1,046+$552$0
US strike on Colombia by December 31?No1,25560.2¢75¢$942+$186$0
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No97727.6¢92.5¢$904+$634$0
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes2,66231.5¢32.5¢$865+$25$0
Iran leadership change by December 31?No92326¢89.5¢$826+$586$0
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?No75812.9¢84¢$636+$538$0
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?No1,07534¢58¢$624+$258$0
Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?Yes65136¢95.3¢$620+$386$0
Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No61039.6¢100¢$610+$368$0
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No67531¢87¢$587+$377$0
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes1,03225¢51.5¢$531+$273$0
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?No60328.3¢84.5¢$509+$338$0
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No53533.7¢93.5¢$500+$320$0
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes69945¢65.5¢$458+$143$0
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?Yes4,27825.2¢9.7¢$415−$665$0
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No59830.4¢62.5¢$374+$192$0
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Yes51035.5¢71.3¢$363+$182$0
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No37426.8¢97.2¢$363+$263$0
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31?Yes2,00033¢18¢$360−$300$0
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No35845¢98.4¢$353+$191$0
GTA 6 launch postponed again?No36019.4¢96.2¢$346+$276$0
Will James Comey be arrested before 2027?No37057¢90.4¢$334+$123$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-22 House seat?Yes34638¢93.5¢$323+$192$0
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?No38126.7¢83¢$317+$215$0
Will Gladyz Butanda Macías win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?Yes8,11422.9¢3.8¢$308−$1,552$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No43022.6¢71¢$305+$208$0
Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg?No3,01647.8¢9.2¢$276−$1,164$0
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?No25834.1¢94.9¢$245+$157$0
Will Frank Scarpitti win the 2026 Markham mayoral election?No4,14035.1¢5.9¢$242−$1,212$0
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?No21326.9¢97.5¢$207+$150$0
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?No27926¢72¢$201+$128$0
Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?Yes10.7k38.4¢1.9¢$198−$3,906$0
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?No1,08625.8¢17.5¢$190−$90$0
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?No21120.9¢87.5¢$185+$141$0
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?No19822.3¢87.5¢$173+$129$0
Will Ted Cruz be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?No16959¢98.2¢$166+$66$0
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?No20244¢81¢$164+$75$0
Will Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan be arrested in 2026?No20037¢81.5¢$163+$89$0
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?No17824.7¢79¢$141+$97$0
Will Markus Allard be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County?No14859¢94.7¢$140+$53$0
Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?No49317.8¢26¢$128+$40$0
Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg?Yes12748¢90.9¢$115+$54$0
Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?No22725.2¢49.7¢$113+$55$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KS-03 House election by 20%-25%?Yes37242¢29.5¢$110−$47$0
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?No11136¢95.5¢$106+$66$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes2,53234.2¢4.1¢$104−$763$0
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?No13918¢64.9¢$90+$65$0
Will Tom Cotton be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes2,24720¢3.9¢$87−$363$0
Trump out as President before 2027?No8433.9¢96¢$81+$52$0
Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?Yes8038¢96.5¢$77+$47$0
Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?No8135¢86¢$69+$41$0
Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?No7735.4¢89.6¢$69+$42$0
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No7437¢92.7¢$68+$41$0
Anthropic IPO before 2027?No32015¢17.5¢$56+$8.00$0
Will Matt Gaetz announce a presidential run before 2027?No5237.5¢97.9¢$51+$31$0
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026?No6036¢84¢$50+$29$0
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?Yes88815¢5¢$44−$89$0
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?No4234¢90.4¢$38+$24$0
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?No4434¢84¢$37+$22$0
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?No3736¢96.2¢$35+$22$0
Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes31322¢11¢$34−$34$0
Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?No10832¢31.5¢$34−$0.54$0
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?Yes88923¢3.8¢$34−$171$0
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?Yes3557¢94.2¢$33+$13$0
Will Frank Scarpitti win the 2026 Markham mayoral election?Yes3071.2¢94.2¢$28+$6.89$0
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes93213.8¢2.8¢$26−$102$0
Rippling IPO before 2027?No2733¢96.7¢$26+$17$0
Discord IPO before 2027?Yes25834.1¢9¢$23−$65$0
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-09 House seat?Yes10926.3¢19.5¢$21−$7.34$0
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 2?Yes6611¢32¢$21+$14$0
Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?No7939¢26.4¢$21−$9.93$0
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?No3620¢51.2¢$19+$11$0
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes43619.8¢3.9¢$17−$70$0
Will Khathutshelo Rasilingwane be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni?No2040¢84.1¢$16+$8.63$0
Will Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán win the next Piura mayoral elections?No1650¢99.1¢$16+$8.04$0
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 25?No5133¢31.5¢$16−$0.76$0
Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by October 31?No1633¢94.5¢$15+$10$0
Will Ron Cannan win the 2026 Kelowna mayoral election?No539¢28.5¢$15+$10$0
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time?Yes1539¢92.1¢$14+$8.09$0
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?No14032¢7.5¢$10−$34$0
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?Yes18.5k28.5¢0.1¢$9.23−$5,255$0
Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Yes28214.3¢3.2¢$9.03−$31$0
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?No918¢89.5¢$8.15+$6.51$0
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?No10014¢8¢$8.00−$6.00$0
Will Beatriz Mojica Morga win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?Yes953¢84.9¢$7.95+$2.99$0
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?No732¢97.2¢$6.61+$4.43$0
Will Carlos Torres Piña win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?Yes1131¢56.6¢$6.40+$2.89$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?35¢64$2249%65
BUY YesSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?56.4¢11$6.0049%65
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?60¢2$1.0049%65
BUY NoIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?36¢3$1.0049%65
BUY NoIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?48.9¢711$34849%65
BUY YesWill Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?73.1¢13$9.2249%65
BUY YesWill Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?72.1¢1$1.0049%65
BUY YesWill Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?75¢388$29149%65
BUY YesWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?70¢1$1.0049%65
BUY YesWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?32¢5$1.6049%65
BUY YesWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?31.6¢16$5.0049%65
BUY YesWill Frank Scarpitti win the 2026 Markham mayoral election?70¢10$7.0049%65
BUY NoWill Frank Scarpitti win the 2026 Markham mayoral election?44.2¢31$1449%65
BUY YesWill Frank Scarpitti win the 2026 Markham mayoral election?68.5¢10$6.8549%65
BUY YesWill Frank Scarpitti win the 2026 Markham mayoral election?75¢5$3.7549%65
BUY YesChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?28¢152$4249%65
BUY NoWill Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?39¢257$10049%65
BUY YesWill Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?73.8¢46$3449%65
BUY YesWill Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?63.2¢36$2349%65
BUY YesWill Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?71.8¢45$3249%65