sharpside
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Jean-Claude322

0x2dc…4bc5
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+WeatherSportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$1,154vol $491k
PnL 30d+$223gains $118 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$4.66win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate81.0%adj 79.8% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$7,793cash n/a
Positions29 / 967open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$520below peak −$1,900Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

47/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 81.0% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d95
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Noclosed+$217Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Noopen+$183LoL: G2 Esports vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season · G2 Esportsclosed+$127LoL: Team Heretics vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner · Movistar KOIclosed+$123LoL: Team Heretics vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season · Movistar KOIclosed+$122

Worst markets

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yesopen−$721LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 · Hanwha Life Esports Challengersclosed−$464Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-03-21? · Noclosed−$364LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Group Stage · Movistar KOIclosed−$328Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25? · Noclosed−$318

Open positions · 29

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No1,80588.7¢97.4¢$1,757+$156+$27
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No1,64992.7¢94.5¢$1,558+$30+$1.71
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No94285.4¢82.5¢$777−$27−$2.78
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No77292¢97¢$748+$38+$20
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No60593.4¢97.2¢$588+$23$0
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes60083.3¢87.9¢$527+$27+$3.72
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No45588¢94.5¢$430+$30$0
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No44091¢91.5¢$402+$2.20$0
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by October 31, 2026?No32594.2¢96.4¢$313+$7.22+$2.82
Iran leadership change by October 31?No30897.4¢98.5¢$303+$3.23$0
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?No22167¢64¢$141−$6.63$0
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?No12996¢95.5¢$123−$0.64$0
Modi out by December 31, 2026?No7293.2¢95.7¢$68+$1.72$0
Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?No5894.9¢97.9¢$57+$1.70+$3.07
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes16.8k0.8¢0¢$0−$138−$4.11
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes11.5k1.6¢0¢$0−$188+$57
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes4,5891.4¢0¢$0−$64−$1.90
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,6396.1¢0¢$0−$100−$2.82
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes78292¢0¢$0−$719−$1.73
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5434.6¢0¢$0−$25+$20
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on July 10?Yes37271.6¢0¢$0−$267−$3.78
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?No10519¢0¢$0−$20−$0.49
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-06?Yes9584.4¢0¢$0−$80−$0.37
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on July 7?Yes7812.9¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.35
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 14?Yes6515.5¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.42
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 20?No3278.8¢0¢$0−$25−$0.27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETDown3083¢0¢$0−$25−$0.30
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 19?Yes2696¢0¢$0−$25−$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on June 20?Yes866¢0¢$0−$5.28−$0.09

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoModi out by December 31, 2026?93.1¢38$3581%47
BUY NoModi out by December 31, 2026?93.4¢34$3281%47
BUY NoMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?96¢129$12481%47
BUY NoWill Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?67¢221$14881%47
BUY NoWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?94¢562$52881%47
BUY NoIran leadership change by October 31?97.4¢308$30081%47
BUY YesWill Russia target Kyiv on October 12, 2026?87¢57$5081%47
BUY NoWill Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by October 31, 2026?94.2¢425$40081%47
BUY NoIsrael x Turkey military clash before 2027?91¢440$40081%47
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?86¢291$25081%47
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?86¢74$6481%47
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?84¢302$25381%47
BUY NoWill Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?98.2¢40$3981%47
SELL NoWill Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?80¢47$3881%47
BUY NoWill Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?95.7¢42$4181%47
BUY NoWill the Iranian regime fall by September 30?99.2¢252$25081%47
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?96.6¢39$3881%47
BUY NoPutin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?99.3¢252$25081%47
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?99.4¢538$53581%47
SELL NoIsrael x Turkey military clash before 2027?87¢614$53481%47