sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,240

prophet-spaces

0x2dd…d5d8@prophet_spaces
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$1,284vol $199k
PnL 30d−$285gains $932 · losses $130
PnL 7d−$776win rate 7d 40.0%
Win rate87.2%adj 79.6% · 30d 80.0%
Open value$23.8kcash n/a
Positions18 / 96open / all-time
Max drawdown−35.3%of equity peak
Account age5molast trade 2h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$1,443below peak −$775Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

65/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale44
Adjusted win rateraw 87.2% · shrunk toward 50%99
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable66
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity65

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 18

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?No5,19594¢93.5¢$4,857−$25$0
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?No4,28594.1¢94.3¢$4,041+$6.46$0
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No3,71888.7¢91.5¢$3,402+$104$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?Yes3,14499.3¢99.2¢$3,118−$2.14$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?No2,00977.7¢79.5¢$1,597+$37$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,69084.9¢85.5¢$1,445+$11$0
Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?No1,22293.9¢95.9¢$1,172+$24$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No1,00187.5¢90¢$901+$25$0
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?No81177¢76.5¢$621−$4.06$0
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?No63398.5¢97.8¢$618−$5.05$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes75083.5¢81.5¢$611−$15$0
Will Malaysia recognize Israel by December 31?No56696.6¢97.5¢$552+$5.08$0
Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31?No51995.7¢97.5¢$506+$9.20$0
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?No21798.1¢98.9¢$214+$1.73$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes29429.9¢36.5¢$107+$19$0
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No56692.1¢0¢$0−$522$0
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 2?Yes33997.4¢0¢$0−$330$0
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 3?Yes19989.8¢0¢$0−$179$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?99.1¢1,500$1,48787%65
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?99¢66$6687%65
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?99.3¢1,720$1,70887%65
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?99.2¢349$34687%65
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?99.4¢1,006$1,00087%65
BUY NoWill Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?94.8¢149$14187%65
SELL NoWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?55.1¢154$8587%65
BUY NoWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?79¢190$15087%65
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?99.8¢3,571$3,56487%65
BUY NoWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?87¢150$13187%65
BUY NoIran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?94¢190$17987%65
SELL YesIsrael military action against Lebanon on October 6?11.8¢102$1287%65
BUY NoIran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?94¢2,009$1,88987%65
BUY NoIran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?94¢257$24287%65
BUY NoIran full airspace closure by December 31?77¢811$62587%65
BUY NoIran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?96¢10$9.6087%65
BUY NoIran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?96¢10$9.6087%65
BUY NoIran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?96¢590$56687%65
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?97.4¢10$9.7487%65
BUY NoWill Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?94.5¢149$14187%65