sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,790

HDGB

0x2e3…abea
WhalePnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+SportOtherPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$67.3kvol $121M
PnL 30d+$23.9kgains $23.7k · losses $48.1k
PnL 7d+$4,910win rate 7d 71.4%
Win rate58.1%adj 57.8% · 30d 58.3%
Open value$155kcash n/a
Positions410 / 1,046open / all-time
Max drawdown−26.3%of equity peak
Account age1.1ylast trade 3h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$101kbelow peak $0Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

67/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale69
Adjusted win rateraw 58.1% · shrunk toward 50%44
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity74

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No87.0k50¢80.2¢$69.7k+$26.2k$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes87.0k50¢19.9¢$17.3k−$26.2k$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?Yes11.2k15.2¢40.5¢$4,548+$2,845+$1,810
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?No3,42096.9¢97¢$3,316+$1.71−$1,104
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?No3,14490.6¢90.1¢$2,834−$14+$156
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?No2,69392.6¢98.9¢$2,662+$169−$286
Will FC Aktobe be relegated from the 2026 Kazakhstan Premier League?No2,00896.9¢99¢$1,988+$42−$56
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027?No1,65495.9¢99.1¢$1,639+$52−$781
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?No1,64695.1¢98.9¢$1,627+$62−$104
Will FBC Melgar be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?No1,52993.1¢99.5¢$1,520+$97−$44
Will Atlético Nacional be relegated from the 2026 Colombia Primera A?No1,41295.3¢99.4¢$1,404+$58−$51
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?No2,02144.4¢62¢$1,253+$355+$12
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?No1,29595.4¢94.2¢$1,219−$16−$1,069
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% before 2027?No1,22398.1¢98.7¢$1,207+$7.52−$699
Will AC Oulu be relegated from the 2026 Veikkausliiga (Finland)?No1,18690.2¢99.9¢$1,185+$114$0
Will Colo-Colo be relegated from the 2026 Chile Primera?No1,16786¢98.3¢$1,147+$144$0
Will KÍ Klaksvík be relegated from the 2026 Betri deildin (Faroe Islands)?No1,12895.6¢99.6¢$1,123+$45+$3.50
Will Racing Club de Montevideo be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?No94393.6¢99.3¢$936+$53$0
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027?No1,04269¢88¢$917+$198−$249
Will Bolívar be relegated from the 2026 Bolivia LFPB?No86786.9¢96.7¢$838+$85$0
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?No4,1509.6¢20.2¢$836+$436+$68
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?No1,00458.4¢83¢$833+$247−$23
Will Beijing Guoan be relegated from the 2026 Chinese Super League?No81994.4¢99.5¢$814+$41−$113
Will Tennessee Titans advance to the AFC Championship Game in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?No76194¢98.3¢$748+$33$0
Will BFC Daugavpils be relegated from the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia)?No75895.8¢97.9¢$742+$16$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?Yes4,43210.6¢16.7¢$738+$267+$137
Will Sekhukhune United be relegated from the 2026-27 South Africa Premiership?No74880¢97.4¢$728+$130$0
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.25T and $1.50T at the end of October 2026?No72688.7¢95.5¢$693+$49+$26
Will Shamrock Rovers be relegated from the 2026 League of Ireland Premier Division?No66596.7¢99.5¢$661+$18−$79
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?No81252.6¢79¢$641+$215−$8.77
Will FC Astana be relegated from the 2026 Kazakhstan Premier League?No63397¢96.7¢$612−$2.04$0
Will Millonarios FC be relegated from the 2026 Colombia Primera A?No60380.9¢99.8¢$602+$114+$174
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% before 2027?No66481¢90.5¢$600+$63$0
Will América de Cali be relegated from the 2026 Colombia Primera A?No61492.9¢97.2¢$597+$27−$84
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027?Yes1,01823¢57¢$580+$346+$1,294
Will FK Auda be relegated from the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia)?No59897.2¢96.6¢$577−$3.44$0
Will St Patrick's Athletic be relegated from the 2026 League of Ireland Premier Division?No57397.1¢99.3¢$568+$13$0
Will Everton CD be relegated from the 2026 Chile Primera?No57895.2¢97.6¢$564+$14$0
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?Yes68686.4¢79¢$542−$51+$1,272
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship?No55094.1¢96.3¢$529+$12+$65
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.4% before 2027?No54778.3¢95.5¢$523+$94−$152
Will FK Liepāja be relegated from the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia)?No52397.3¢98.4¢$514+$5.51$0
Will RFS be relegated from the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia)?No60195.4¢83.2¢$500−$74$0
Will Atlético Bucaramanga be relegated from the 2026 Colombia Primera A?No51279.7¢97.4¢$499+$91$0
Will HJK Helsinki be relegated from the 2026 Veikkausliiga (Finland)?No48797.2¢98.2¢$478+$4.79$0
Will Independiente Santa Fe be relegated from the 2026 Colombia Primera A?No48495.6¢97.4¢$471+$8.55−$81
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of October 2026?No47476.3¢99.1¢$469+$108$0
Will Deportes Tolima be relegated from the 2026 Colombia Primera A?No48495.3¢96.7¢$468+$6.73$0
Will HB be relegated from the 2026 Betri deildin (Faroe Islands)?No46497.3¢99.7¢$462+$11+$1.24
Will Red Star Belgrade be relegated from the 2026-27 Serbian SuperLiga?No46382.7¢99.4¢$460+$77+$1.32
Will Nacional Potosí be relegated from the 2026 Bolivia LFPB?No46177.9¢97¢$447+$88$0
Will Ilves be relegated from the 2026 Veikkausliiga (Finland)?No38297¢99.7¢$381+$10$0
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of November 2026?No40979.1¢91.4¢$374+$50−$11
Will Inter Turku be relegated from the 2026 Veikkausliiga (Finland)?No37297.1¢97.1¢$361−$0.20$0
Will Keflavík be relegated from the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?No36378.4¢99.2¢$360+$75$0
Will KuPS be relegated from the 2026 Veikkausliiga (Finland)?No35998.6¢99.6¢$358+$3.41$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027?No40473.5¢88.5¢$357+$61+$26
Will FCI Levadia be relegated from the 2026 Premium Liiga (Estonia)?No36197.6¢97.4¢$352−$0.74$0
Will New York Jets advance to the AFC Championship Game in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?No34295.1¢99.8¢$341+$16−$57
Will Orlando Pirates be relegated from the 2026-27 South Africa Premiership?No34076.4¢98¢$333+$73$0
Will FC Lahti be relegated from the 2026 Veikkausliiga (Finland)?No32692.3¢99.4¢$323+$23+$13
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of 2026?No31089.9¢95.2¢$295+$16−$57
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes2,3503¢12.5¢$294+$223$0
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% before 2027?No27858.3¢93.5¢$260+$98+$14
Will Los Chankas be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?No25789.4¢96.7¢$248+$19+$9.08
Will Apple’s market capitalization be less than $3.50T at the end of 2026?No25688.8¢90.5¢$232+$4.40+$5.27
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of 2026?No29075.2¢77¢$223+$5.18−$29
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% in October?No29870.3¢75¢$223+$14$0
Will FC Kyzylzhar be relegated from the 2026 Kazakhstan Premier League?No31626.7¢67¢$212+$127+$7.03
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes7,2503¢2.9¢$207−$12$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?No21965.4¢88.5¢$194+$51$0
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes2,3503¢7.9¢$184+$113$0
Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026?No20380.2¢87.5¢$177+$15−$94
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes2,3503¢7.5¢$176+$105$0
Will Always Ready be relegated from the 2026 Bolivia LFPB?No19095.3¢92¢$175−$6.29−$139
Will FC Irtysh Pavlodar be relegated from the 2026 Kazakhstan Premier League?No20030.4¢85¢$170+$109$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.2% before 2027?No17278.5¢97.6¢$168+$33−$8.82
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.25T and $1.50T at the end of October 2026?No17191.6¢97.4¢$166+$9.76−$76
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.40% before 2027?No18070.7¢90¢$162+$35$0
Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of 2026?No15592.2¢97¢$150+$7.44−$23
Will Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?Yes6,3790.7¢2.3¢$147+$103$0
Will SJK be relegated from the 2026 Veikkausliiga (Finland)?No14695.3¢96.9¢$141+$2.30$0
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027?No21060.1¢67.5¢$141+$16−$71
Will FF Jaro be relegated from the 2026 Veikkausliiga (Finland)?Yes17839.5¢79¢$141+$70+$125
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027?No14485.6¢97¢$140+$16−$432
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of October 2026?No14985.1¢92.7¢$138+$11−$86
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.95% in October?No15380.7¢87.5¢$134+$10+$7.33
Will Riga FC be relegated from the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia)?No13198¢99.8¢$131+$2.36$0
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes2,3503¢5.6¢$130+$59$0
Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.50T and $3.00T at the end of 2026?No24042¢52¢$125+$24+$3.13
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% in October?No12973.7¢92.5¢$120+$24+$13
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be less than $4.00T at the end of 2026?No12078.5¢97.2¢$117+$22+$9.48
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.08% in October?Yes17085¢68.5¢$117−$28$0
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026?No18466.2¢61.5¢$113−$8.61+$106
Will FC Zhenis Astana be relegated from the 2026 Kazakhstan Premier League?No11584.4¢96.5¢$111+$14$0
Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of 2026?Yes37423.7¢27¢$101+$12+$36
Will Yelimay Semey be relegated from the 2026 Kazakhstan Premier League?No10289.3¢97.2¢$99+$8.04$0
Will Instituto be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?No9691.1¢97.5¢$94+$6.05$0
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes14.3k0.8¢0.7¢$93−$26$0
Will Deportivo Maldonado be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?No9579¢97.5¢$93+$18$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Qizilqum be runner-up in the 2026 Uzbekistan Super League?2¢57$1.1358%67
SELL YesWill Sogdiana be runner-up in the 2026 Uzbekistan Super League?2¢57$1.1358%67
SELL YesWill Andijon be runner-up in the 2026 Uzbekistan Super League?2¢57$1.1358%67
SELL YesWill Mash'al finish 11th in the 2026 Uzbekistan Super League?1¢58$0.5858%67
SELL YesWill Bunyodkor finish 3rd in the 2026 Uzbekistan Super League?1¢68$0.6858%67
SELL YesWill Kokand 1912 finish 3rd in the 2026 Uzbekistan Super League?1¢68$0.6858%67
BUY NoWill Khorazm finish 3rd in the 2026 Uzbekistan Super League?99¢68$6858%67
SELL YesWill Andijon win the 2026 Uzbekistan Super League?2¢57$1.1458%67
SELL YesWill Bukhara win the 2026 Uzbekistan Super League?2¢57$1.1458%67
BUY NoWill Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be at least $2.25T at the end of October 2026?38.6¢189$7358%67
SELL YesWill Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026?15.1¢136$2058%67
SELL YesWill Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of 2026?22¢173$3858%67
SELL YesWill Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026?44¢120$5358%67
BUY YesWill Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026?35.5¢561$19958%67
SELL NoWill Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of November 2026?92¢78$7258%67
BUY NoWill St Patrick's Athletic be relegated from the 2026 League of Ireland Premier Division?98.8¢391$38658%67
SELL NoWill Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of November 2026?91.9¢55$5158%67
SELL NoWill Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of November 2026?91¢110$10058%67
BUY YesWill the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?5.5¢800$4458%67
SELL NoWill Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of November 2026?95.4¢87$8358%67