PnL all-time−$1.64vol $192
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate7.1%adj 25.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$100cash n/a
Positions29 / 62open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 9mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
Not enough history to draw an equity curve.
SharpScore inputs
21/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 7.1% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable60
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026? · Yesopen−$7.68Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026? · Yesopen−$7.68Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026? · Yesopen−$7.68Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026? · Yesopen−$7.68Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026? · Yesopen−$7.68
Open positions · 1
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026? | Yes | 100 | 7.7¢ | 100¢ | $100 | +$92 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s
| Time | Side | Market | Price | Shares | Value | Trader WR | Sharp | Flags | Transaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUY No | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026? | 99.8¢ | 100 | $100 | 7% | 21 | |||
| SELL Yes | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026? | 0.7¢ | 10 | $0.07 | 7% | 21 | |||
| SELL Yes | Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026? | 0.6¢ | 10 | $0.06 | 7% | 21 | |||
| SELL Yes | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026? | 0.4¢ | 10 | $0.04 | 7% | 21 | |||
| SELL Yes | Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026? | 0.3¢ | 10 | $0.03 | 7% | 21 | |||
| SELL Yes | Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026? | 0.2¢ | 10 | $0.02 | 7% | 21 | |||
| BUY No | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026? | 99.9¢ | 10 | $9.99 | 7% | 21 | |||
| BUY No | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026? | 99.9¢ | 10 | $9.99 | 7% | 21 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025? | 10¢ | 10 | $1.00 | 7% | 21 |